Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 27

Date: 26 March 2023, Sunday


	Navalcarnero		Don Benito

	1	X	2
	2	2.8	3.8
	1.9	3	4.2
	2.13	2.95	3.8
	2.01	3.02	3.88
	2.01	2.95	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.67)	2.94 ↓ (3)	3.9 ↓ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
45.5%

Draw
31.1%

Don Benito
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

30.3%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

29.1%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Navalcarnero's form might have worsened.

Don Benito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Don Benito's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Navalcarnero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Don Benito, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Navalcarnero - Don Benito Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Navalcarnero will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Don Benito will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Navalcarnero is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Navalcarnero to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Navalcarnero won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.03.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
12.03.23	Navalcarnero - Estepona	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Atlético Madrid B - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	Navalcarnero - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
18.02.23	CD Guadalajara - Navalcarnero	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.7 WTWWT
- CD Don Benito
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.03.23	Don Benito - Alcorcón B	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Don Benito	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Don Benito - Montijo	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	Coria - Don Benito	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Don Benito - Leganés B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.11.22	Don Benito - Navalcarnero	2:4
09.05.21	Don Benito - Navalcarnero	0:1
18.04.21	Navalcarnero - Don Benito	0:0

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