Match Info
Copa Federacion - Quarter-finalsDate: 30 September 2026, Wednesday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Navalcarnero |
|
Real Murcia |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.40 |
3.25 |
1.90 |
|
 |
3.2 |
3.15 |
2.02 |
|
 |
2.87 |
3.35 |
2.43 |
|
 |
3.69 |
3.43 |
1.91 |
 Watch |
 |
2.8 |
2.85 |
2.4 |
|
 |
2.92 |
3.44 |
2.3 |
|
 |
2.85 |
3.15 |
2.21 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.1 ↓
(3.4) |
3.23 ↓
(3.38) |
2.17 ↑
(1.88) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Navalcarnero
29.5% | Draw
28.3% | Real Murcia
42.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Murcia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Navalcarnero - Real Murcia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 48', Bustos A. 🟥,
- 51', 1 - 0, Jimenez M. ⚽,
- 52', 1 - 1, Meca A. ⚽,
- 55', 2 - 1, Alvarito ⚽,
- 65', 3 - 1, Alvarito ⚽,
- 89', Gil O. 🟥,
Preview
Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.Navalcarnero may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days. Murcia is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match. These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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