Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 24

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Atlético Madrid B		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.62	3.65	5.5
	1.54	3.67	6.38
	1.53	3.78	5.95
	1.57	3.6	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.67)	3.66 ↑ (3.2)	5.75 ↑ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid B
58.9%

Draw
25.1%

Navalcarnero
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

28.6%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

27.6%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Atlético Madrid B - Navalcarnero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Madrid B won 2.

Recent matches Atlético Madrid B is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Navalcarnero is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Navalcarnero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atlético Madrid B is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Atlético Madrid B won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Madrid B won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.02.23	Alcorcón B - Atlético Madrid B	3:3 ✺
19.02.23	Atlético Madrid B - Cerdanyola del Vallès	4:0 ✺
12.02.23	Montijo - Atlético Madrid B	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Atlético Madrid B - Coria	3:1 ✺
29.01.23	Don Benito - Atlético Madrid B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWLWT
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.02.23	Navalcarnero - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
18.02.23	CD Guadalajara - Navalcarnero	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Navalcarnero - Socuéllamos	1:3 ✺
04.02.23	Diocesano - Navalcarnero	3:4 ✺
29.01.23	Navalcarnero - Cacereño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
16.10.22	Navalcarnero - Atlético Madrid B	1:0
21.03.21	Atlético Madrid B - Navalcarnero	1:1
10.02.21	Navalcarnero - Atlético Madrid B	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.02.19	Atlético Madrid B - Navalcarnero	3:0
23.09.18	Navalcarnero - Atlético Madrid B	2:4
29.04.18	Atlético Madrid B - Navalcarnero	0:1
03.12.17	Navalcarnero - Atlético Madrid B	1:1

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