Match Info

Date: 15 May 2022, Sunday


	Navalcarnero		Marino de Luanco

	1	X	2
	2.95	3	2.25
	2.95	3	2.38
	2.95	3	2.29
	3.02	3.15	2.41
	3.2	3.16	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.63)	3.06 ↑ (2.88)	2.31 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
30.4%

Draw
29.9%

Marino de Luanco
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

31.2%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

33.9%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Marino de Luanco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marino de Luanco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	15.4%	53.8%

Navalcarnero - Marino de Luanco Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Navalcarnero will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Marino de Luanco will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marino de Luanco: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Navalcarnero is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs)

Navalcarnero is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Marino de Luanco is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.05.22	Arenteiro - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
01.05.22	Navalcarnero - Bergantiños	0:1 ✺
23.04.22	Leganés B - Navalcarnero	0:4 ✺
17.04.22	Navalcarnero - Móstoles URJC	2:1 ✺
10.04.22	Compostela - Navalcarnero	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TLWWW
- Marino de Luanco
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.05.22	Marino de Luanco - Unión Adarve	2:0 ✺
01.05.22	Coruxo - Marino de Luanco	2:0 ✺
24.04.22	Marino de Luanco - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:2 ✺
17.04.22	Llanera - Marino de Luanco	0:2 ✺
10.04.22	Palencia CA - Marino de Luanco	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.01.22	Marino de Luanco - Navalcarnero	0:1

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