Match Info

Date: 17 January 2021, Sunday


	Naxxar Lions		Qormi

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	5.5
	1.5	4.2	4.8
	1.44	4.2	5
	1.49	4.33	5.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.51)	4.37 ↑ (4.2)	5.18 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naxxar Lions
61.9%

Draw
20.6%

Qormi
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

21.4%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73%

17.4%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Qormi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naxxar Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qormi than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Naxxar Lions is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Qormi has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Naxxar Lions could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Naxxar Lions is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Naxxar Lions won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Naxxar Lions won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naxxar Lions
Maltese Challenge League
11.01.21	Pietà Hotspurs - Naxxar Lions	2:1 ✺
20.12.20	Naxxar Lions - St. Georges	5:1 ✺
13.12.20	Vittoriosa Stars - Naxxar Lions	0:0 ✺
10.12.20	Naxxar Lions - Qrendi	2:0 ✺
06.12.20	Fgura United - Naxxar Lions	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWTWL
- Qormi FC
Maltese Challenge League
11.01.21	Qormi - St. Georges	1:1 ✺
07.01.21	Vittoriosa Stars - Qormi	1:0 ✺
20.12.20	Qormi - Qrendi	0:1 ✺
13.12.20	Fgura United - Qormi	3:1 ✺
10.12.20	Qormi - Mqabba	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
27.09.20	Qormi - Naxxar Lions	0:2
11.10.19	Naxxar Lions - Qormi	3:0
Maltese Premier League
17.04.16	Naxxar Lions - Qormi	1:1
30.01.16	Qormi - Naxxar Lions	0:5
06.11.15	Naxxar Lions - Qormi	1:1
15.03.15	Qormi - Naxxar Lions	1:2
23.11.14	Naxxar Lions - Qormi	1:1

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