What is the expert prediction for APOEL vs Astana?

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APOEL vs Astana Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, December 19, 2024)

Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 19 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Neo GSP Stadium (Nicosia)

Referee: Gishamer S. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Stan Sport
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Cyprus	ANT1
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 8
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 5
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 8
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 10, Blue Sport 10, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 12
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+


	APOEL		Astana

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	7.5
	1.39	4.5	6.75
	1.4	4.5	8
	1.42	4.7	8.33
	1.4	4.56	7.53	Watch
	1.4	4.4	7
	1.43	4.89	7.6
	1.4	4.75	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.48)	4.63 ↑ (4.28)	7.53 ↑ (6.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

APOEL
67.1%

Draw
20.4%

Astana
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

21.9%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

21.8%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

APOEL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for APOEL than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.2%	10.8%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: APOEL will win (30 of 33 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Belec V. (C) 29. Chebake I. 3. Petrovic R. 34. Laifis K. 17. Abagna D. 70. Kostadinov G. 8. Tejera S. 19. Quintilla X. 77. Ndongala D. 9. El Arabi Y. 11. Donis A.	93. Condric J. (G) 5. Kazukolovas K. 3. Kalaica B. 45. Amanovic A. 2. Bartolec K. 77. Gripshi N. 7. Ebong M. 6. Vorogovskiy Y. 28. Camara O. 10. Tomasov M. (C) 9. Geoffrey C.
Substitutes
12. Bah A. 22. Christodoulou A. (G) 30. Corbu M. 5. Dvali L. 23. Kattirtzis P. 7. Meyer M. 78. Michos S. (G) 35. Polykarpou P. 18. Satsias G.	11. Ahanonu N. F. 21. Astanov E. 72. Basmanov S. 15. Beysebekov A. 4. Bystrov M. 81. Karimov R. 22. Marochkin A. 19. Osei B. 74. Seysen M. (G) 55. Zarutskiy A. (G) 97. Zhaksylykov N.
Coaches
Jimenez M.	Babayan G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Ebong M. 🟨,
31', Kostadinov G. 🟨,
35', Petrovic R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Abagna D. 🟨,
57', 1 - 0, Donis A. ⚽, El Arabi Y. (A),
61', Kostadinov G. ↓, Satsias G. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Kazukolovas K. ⚽, Tomasov M. (A),
65', Ebong M. 🟨,
68', Gripshi N. ↓, Osei B. ↑,
70', Osei B. 🟨,
70', Satsias G. 🟨,
70', Satsias G. 🟨,
78', Petrovic R. ↓, Dvali L. ↑,
84', Condric J. 🟨,
85', Ndongala D. ↓, Corbu M. ↑,
86', Donis A. ↓, Meyer M. ↑,
87', Camara O. ↓, Astanov E. ↑,
88', Geoffrey C. ↓, Karimov R. ↑,
89', Astanov E. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches APOEL won 2.

APOEL is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Astana is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

APOEL could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match APOEL is certain favorite.

There will not play in APOEL: Sarfo K. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in APOEL: Marquinhos (Muscle Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches APOEL won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:7 (average 0.8:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams APOEL won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APOEL
Cypriot First Division
15.12.24	APOEL - Enosis Neon Paralimni	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.12.24	Noah Yerevan - APOEL	1:3 ✺
Cypriot First Division
07.12.24	Omonia - APOEL	2:2 ✺
02.12.24	APOEL - Aris Limassol	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	Molde - APOEL	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWTLW
- FC Astana
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.12.24	Astana - Chelsea	1:3 ✺
28.11.24	Astana - Vitoria Guimarães	1:1 ✺
Kazakh League Cup
23.11.24	Zhenis - Astana	0:2 ET ✺
Kazakh Premier League
10.11.24	Astana - Zhetysu	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.11.24	Paphos - Astana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
30.08.18	Astana - APOEL	2:0 penalties
23.08.18	APOEL - Astana	1:0
24.11.16	Astana - APOEL	2:1
15.09.16	APOEL - Astana	2:1
UEFA Champions League
26.08.15	APOEL - Astana	1:1
18.08.15	Astana - APOEL	1:0

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