Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 19 December 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Neo GSP Stadium (Nicosia) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gishamer S. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Chile	17:00	Disney+
Colombia	15:00	Disney+
Cyprus	22:00	ANT1
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 8
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 5
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect
Kazakhstan	02:00	Qazsport
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 8
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 10, Blue Sport 10, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 12
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	Disney+


	APOEL		Astana

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	7.5
	1.39	4.5	6.75
	1.4	4.5	8
	1.42	4.7	8.33
	1.4	4.56	7.53	Watch
	1.4	4.4	7
	1.43	4.89	7.6
	1.4	4.75	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.48)	4.63 ↑ (4.28)	7.53 ↑ (6.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

APOEL
67.1%

Draw
20.4%

Astana
12.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.7%

21.9%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

21.7%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

APOEL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for APOEL than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.2%	10.8%	0%

APOEL - Astana Predictions

Users Predictions: APOEL will win (30 of 33 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Belec V. (C) 29. Chebake I. 3. Petrovic R. 34. Laifis K. 17. Abagna D. 70. Kostadinov G. 8. Tejera S. 19. Quintilla X. 77. Ndongala D. 9. El Arabi Y. 11. Donis A.	93. Condric J. (G) 5. Kazukolovas K. 3. Kalaica B. 45. Amanovic A. 2. Bartolec K. 77. Gripshi N. 7. Ebong M. 6. Vorogovskiy Y. 28. Camara O. 10. Tomasov M. (C) 9. Geoffrey C.
Substitutes
12. Bah A. 22. Christodoulou A. (G) 30. Corbu M. 5. Dvali L. 23. Kattirtzis P. 7. Meyer M. 78. Michos S. (G) 35. Polykarpou P. 18. Satsias G.	11. Ahanonu N. F. 21. Astanov E. 72. Basmanov S. 15. Beysebekov A. 4. Bystrov M. 81. Karimov R. 22. Marochkin A. 19. Osei B. 74. Seysen M. (G) 55. Zarutskiy A. (G) 97. Zhaksylykov N.
Coaches
Jimenez M.	Babayan G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Ebong M. 🟨,
31', Kostadinov G. 🟨,
35', Petrovic R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Abagna D. 🟨,
57', 1 - 0, Donis A. ⚽, El Arabi Y. (A),
61', Kostadinov G. ↓, Satsias G. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Kazukolovas K. ⚽, Tomasov M. (A),
65', Ebong M. 🟨,
68', Gripshi N. ↓, Osei B. ↑,
70', Osei B. 🟨,
70', Satsias G. 🟨,
70', Satsias G. 🟨,
78', Petrovic R. ↓, Dvali L. ↑,
84', Condric J. 🟨,
85', Ndongala D. ↓, Corbu M. ↑,
86', Donis A. ↓, Meyer M. ↑,
87', Camara O. ↓, Astanov E. ↑,
88', Geoffrey C. ↓, Karimov R. ↑,
89', Astanov E. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches APOEL won 2.

APOEL is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Astana is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

APOEL could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match APOEL is certain favorite.

There will not play in APOEL: Sarfo K. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in APOEL: Marquinhos (Muscle Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches APOEL won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:7 (average 0.8:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams APOEL won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APOEL
Cypriot First Division
15.12.24	APOEL - Enosis Neon Paralimni	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.12.24	Noah Yerevan - APOEL	1:3 ✺
Cypriot First Division
07.12.24	Omonia - APOEL	2:2 ✺
02.12.24	APOEL - Aris Limassol	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	Molde - APOEL	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWTLW
- FC Astana
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.12.24	Astana - Chelsea	1:3 ✺
28.11.24	Astana - Vitoria Guimarães	1:1 ✺
Kazakh League Cup
23.11.24	Zhenis - Astana	0:2 ET ✺
Kazakh Premier League
10.11.24	Astana - Zhetysu	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.11.24	Paphos - Astana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
30.08.18	Astana - APOEL	2:0 penalties
23.08.18	APOEL - Astana	1:0
24.11.16	Astana - APOEL	2:1
15.09.16	APOEL - Astana	2:1
UEFA Champions League
26.08.15	APOEL - Astana	1:1
18.08.15	Astana - APOEL	1:0

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