Match Info
Conference League - League phase - Round 2Date: 22 October 2026, ThursdayLocation: Alphamega Stadium (Kolossi)Referee: Barbu M. (Rou)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Paphos |
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Riga |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.57 |
4.00 |
5.25 |
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1.58 |
3.90 |
4.80 |
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1.57 |
4.20 |
5.50 |
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1.64 |
4.09 |
5.50 |
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1.6 |
4.13 |
5.4 |
 Watch |
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1.58 |
4.00 |
5.35 |
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1.62 |
4.20 |
5.54 |
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1.59 |
4.10 |
5.20 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↑
(1.52) |
4.08 ↓
(4.1) |
5.32 ↓
(5.5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Paphos
59.2% | Draw
23.1% | Riga
17.7% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Paphos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paphos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga than the current prediction. (-1.9%)Paphos - Riga Predictions
Users Predictions:
Paphos will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Preview
Playing home matches at a different stadium - Alphamega Stadium.In recent outings, Paphos has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).Riga is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).Riga could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match. Bookmakers give the edge to Paphos for this game.Confirmed absences for Paphos: David Luiz
(Injury)
Gorter J.
(Inactive)
Jaja
(Inactive)
Kyriakidis C.
(Arm Injury).Confirmed absences for Riga: Abner
(Off the roster)
Salazar A.
(Red Card)
Varslavans R.
(Knee Injury)
Zviedris K.
(Off the roster).Doubtful / questionable for Paphos: Goldar D.
(Inactive)
Mammadov M.
(Inactive)
Moumi Ngamaleu N.
(Inactive).Doubtful / questionable for Riga: Contreras A.
(Knee Injury)
Galo O.
(Knee Injury).In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Paphos has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:6 (averaging 3:3 goals per game).Specifically in home fixtures for Paphos against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:4 goals.
Standings
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 22 | Riga FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
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| 32 | Pafos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
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Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now
Pafos: 0.8% Riga FC: 0.16%
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Club Friendly | | | 26.03.22 | Paphos - Riga | 5:4 | | 14.07.17 | Riga - Paphos | 2:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
