Match Info

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday


	Atalanta		Paphos

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.20	6.50
	1.43	4.40	6.00
	1.42	4.60	7.00
	1.51	4.50	5.92
	1.5	4.39	6.1	Watch
	1.45	4.70	6.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.5)	4.47 ↑ (4.4)	6.32 ↑ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta
64.3%

Draw
20.9%

Paphos
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

21.5%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

23.3%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Paphos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Atalanta - Paphos Predictions

Users Predictions: Atalanta will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Atalanta has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Paphos shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Atalanta holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Atalanta: 9.66% Pafos: 1.49%

Last Results with these Odds

Atalanta - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 63.02%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
20.09.26	Juventus - Atalanta	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Atalanta - Cagliari	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Roma - Atalanta	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Atalanta - Bologna	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Atalanta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWW
- Paphos FC
Cypriot First Division
18.09.26	Paphos - AEL Limassol	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	AEK Larnaca - Paphos	0:1 ✺
07.09.26	Paphos - Olympiacos Nicosia	0:0 ✺
Cypriot Super Cup
03.09.26	Omonia - Paphos	0:1 ✺
Cypriot First Division
30.08.26	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Paphos	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWTWW

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