The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santos Laguna 63.8%
Draw 20.8%
Necaxa 15.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.5%
23.3%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
23.1%
31.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos Laguna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos Laguna's performance.
Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Necaxa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (-18.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos Laguna that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+16.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Necaxa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.9%
0%
11.1%
Santos Laguna - Necaxa Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Santos Laguna will win
(15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%). Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Santos Laguna will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Rivas T. (G) 62. Baca T. 14. Gomez A. 2. Hernandez Ponce A. G. 6. Ibarra H. 22. Ikechukwu V. 5. Novella Y. 4. Peraza M. (C) 10. Rodriguez K. 20. Romero Torres L. M. 11. Santana M.
25. Amaro J. (G) 14. Acosta M. 15. Bracamonte F. 16. Calvillo S. (C) 50. Estrada N. 11. Fernandez I. 47. Navarro Flores A. A. 9. Peralta W. 58. Roque Elizondo N. J. 17. Torres A. 5. Vega Garcia B.
Substitutes
30. Casas A. (G) 44. Cisneros Aguiar E. 31. Cussin Franco F. C. 21. Felix Rosales J. G. 64. Hernandez B. 17. Martinez M. 61. Ramirez Alamilla X. P. 58. Ramirez R. 7. Rodriguez D. 15. Vazquez A.
21. Barnett J. 78. Burks T. 59. Gallardo R. 45. Gomez C. 54. Hernandez A. 18. Lopez K. 52. Medellin Z. 19. Ramos M. 2. Velarde Mata A. E. (G)
Coaches
Lazcano J.
Astorga C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Calvillo S. ⚽,
20', Baca T. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Ikechukwu V. ⚽,
45', Baca T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Romero Torres L. M. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
56', Fernandez I. 🟨,
56', Torres A. ↓, Barnett J. ↑,
66', Vega Garcia B. ↓, Medellin Z. ↑,
75', Hernandez Ponce A. G. 🟨,
80', Calvillo S. (Pen),
84', Bracamonte F. 🟨,
86', Fernandez I. ↓, Ramos M. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Ramos M. ⚽,
90+2', Novella Y. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 2.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Necaxa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Santos Laguna is seen as the favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:18. (average 1.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Santos Laguna won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:11. (average 2.1:1.4).
Mexico
Watch
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Rivas T. (G) 
Ikechukwu V. 
Peraza M. (C) 
Peralta W. 
Rodriguez D. 
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