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Current Win Probability
Necaxa 3.4%
Draw 6.7%
Toluca 89.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
6%
10.1%
83.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toluca's recent form is better than expected.
Necaxa - Toluca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Meza Acosta A. L. (G) 2. Danae Gutierrez Acosta A. 5. De Leon L. A. A. 3. Johnson B. 18. Cervantes Z. 76. Cortez D. 23. Navarro Flores A. A. 22. Terzian Jensen A. (C) 67. Ponce D. 16. Perez J. 14. Lizeth Quiroz Tinoco T.
12. Martinez V. (G) 16. Fernandez L. 15. Ramirez M. 24. Veje K. 14. Blackwood D. 17. Jakobsson S. 6. Henry A. (C) 28. Gonzalez Diaz Barreiro S. 29. Pavi M. 10. Cuevas B. 9. Le Sommer E.
Substitutes
60. Carranza M. (G) 4. Cavanaugh M. 69. Coronado B. 54. Hernandez A. 12. Isabel Melendez Villarreal A. 8. Michell De La Torre Lopez M. 21. Navarro Vargas A. Y. 33. Plascencia S. 63. Uriostegui D.
23. Diaz B. 8. Fernandez K. 5. Franco Y. 11. Guatemala D. 13. Lopez V. 1. Lozoya C. (G) 59. Monroy F. 4. Rodriguez Perez Y. 22. Vazquez S.
Coaches
Sanchez G. H.
Toril A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Le Sommer E. ⚽, Jakobsson S. (A),
36', Johnson B. ↓, Isabel Melendez Villarreal A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Perez J. ↓, Navarro Vargas A. Y. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Le Sommer E. ⚽,
57', Terzian Jensen A. ↓, Plascencia S. ↑,
57', Ponce D. ↓, Cavanaugh M. ↑,
61', Cuevas B. ↓, Franco Y. ↑,
61', Pavi M. ↓, Monroy F. ↑,
66', Plascencia S. 🟨,
67', 0 - 3, Le Sommer E. ⚽,
69', Blackwood D. 🟨,
70', Blackwood D. ↓, Guatemala D. ↑,
74', Plascencia S. ↓, Coronado B. ↑,
80', Gonzalez Diaz Barreiro S. ↓, Fernandez K. ↑,
80', Jakobsson S. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
84', 0 - 4, Le Sommer E. ⚽, Franco Y. (A),
85', Lizeth Quiroz Tinoco T. ↓, Uriostegui D. ↑,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 9th and 4th in the Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 0.
Necaxa is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Toluca have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Toluca may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Necaxa has faced a series of away games on the road.
Toluca holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Necaxa has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:28 (averaging 0.8:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Necaxa against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 7:15 goals (averaging 1:2.1 per game).
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Meza Acosta A. L. (G) 
Johnson B. 
Terzian Jensen A. (C) 
Veje K. 
Blackwood D. 
Jakobsson S. 
Henry A. (C) 
Pavi M. 
Toril A. 
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