Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 23

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Needham Market		Harborough Town

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.2	2.18
	2.8	3.55	2.17
	2.85	3.73	2.22	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.3
	2.64	3.32	2.31
	2.6	3.4	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.1)	3.38 ↑ (3.37)	2.27 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Needham Market
33%

Draw
26.9%

Harborough Town
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

27.3%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

26.6%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Needham Market has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Harborough Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harborough Town than the current prediction. (+4%)

Needham Market - Harborough Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Miles R. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Kamara D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 1 - 2, Arlott-John D. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 3, Stephens B. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Needham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Needham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Needham Market
English Southern League Central Division
13.12.25	Banbury United - Needham Market	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Needham Market - Quorn	0:3 ✺
29.11.25	Needham Market - Alvechurch	1:0 ✺
25.11.25	Bishops Stortford - Needham Market	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Spalding United - Needham Market	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLWWL
- Harborough Town
English Southern League Central Division
17.12.25	Stourbridge - Harborough Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Harborough Town - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
29.11.25	Barwell - Harborough Town	1:1 ✺
25.11.25	Harborough Town - Redditch United	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Worcester City - Harborough Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
09.08.25	Harborough Town - Needham Market	4:0

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