Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 11

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday


	Stourbridge		Harborough Town

	1	X	2
	4.85	3.9	1.55
	4.88	3.96	1.59
	4.92	3.99	1.62	Watch
	4.8	3.6	1.57
	4.69	3.91	1.66
	4.75	3.8	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.82 ↑ (3.22)	3.86 ↑ (3.5)	1.6 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stourbridge
19%

Draw
23.7%

Harborough Town
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

26.6%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

26.3%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stourbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stourbridge's form might have worsened.

Harborough Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Harborough Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stourbridge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harborough Town than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Harborough Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Stourbridge - Harborough Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Stourbridge will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Harborough will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Stourbridge (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Harborough (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Chong K. J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
81', 1 - 1, Malone P. ⚽,
81', 2 - 1, Lewis D. ⚽,

Preview

Postponed due to FA Cup.

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

Stourbridge is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Harborough is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Harborough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Harborough will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Stourbridge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1.3:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Stourbridge won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stourbridge FC
English Southern League Central Division
13.12.25	Royston Town - Stourbridge	2:3 ✺
06.12.25	Stourbridge - Sudbury Town	2:3 ✺
29.11.25	Kettering Town - Stourbridge	5:0 ✺
26.11.25	Stourbridge - Barwell	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Stourbridge - Halesowen Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLTL
- Harborough Town
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Harborough Town - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
29.11.25	Barwell - Harborough Town	1:1 ✺
25.11.25	Harborough Town - Redditch United	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Worcester City - Harborough Town	1:2 ✺
18.11.25	Quorn - Harborough Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
25.01.25	Harborough Town - Stourbridge	0:1
15.10.24	Stourbridge - Harborough Town	1:4
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Harborough Town - Stourbridge	4:2

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