Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 35

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Needham Market		St Ives Town

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.95	6.3
	1.33	5.41	6.73
	1.37	5.2	6.75	Watch
	1.33	4.75	6.5
	1.31	5.05	7.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.48)	5.07 ↑ (4.5)	6.68 ↑ (5.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Needham Market
68.4%

Draw
18%

St Ives Town
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

20.7%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

19.7%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Needham Market has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Needham Market's performance.

St Ives Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Ives Town than the current prediction. (+2%)

Needham Market - St Ives Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 1 - 1, Tommy S. ⚽,
55', 2 - 1, Ingram L. ⚽,
59', 3 - 1, Neal J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Needham won 2.

Needham is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

St Ives has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

St Ives may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Needham is the clear favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Needham won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:14. (average 2.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Needham won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:6. (average 3.2:1.2).

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Needham Market: 0.61%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Needham Market	9	4	1	4	18:16	2	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Needham Market
English Southern League Central Division
07.03.26	Needham Market - Spalding United	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Real Bedford - Needham Market	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Alvechurch - Needham Market	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Bury Town - Needham Market	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Needham Market - Halesowen Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTTTW
- St Ives Town
English Southern League Central Division
07.03.26	Redditch United - St Ives Town	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	St Ives Town - Quorn	1:4 ✺
21.02.26	Bishops Stortford - St Ives Town	1:0 ✺
17.02.26	Stamford - St Ives Town	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	St Ives Town - Kettering Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
15.11.25	St Ives Town - Needham Market	2:2
27.01.24	St Ives Town - Needham Market	3:2
26.09.23	Needham Market - St Ives Town	6:1
19.11.22	St Ives Town - Needham Market	1:1
16.08.22	Needham Market - St Ives Town	4:2
22.02.22	St Ives Town - Needham Market	1:1
17.08.21	Needham Market - St Ives Town	1:1

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