Match Info

Premier League - Round 19

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday


	Negele Arsi Ketema		Mekelle 70 Enderta

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.58	3.2
	2.65	2.46	3.19
	2.61	2.53	3.24	Watch
	2.5	2.5	3
	2.54	2.5	3.26	Watch
	2.71	2.45	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.07)	2.5 ↓ (2.94)	3.18 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Negele Arsi Ketema
35.3%

Draw
36.2%

Mekelle 70 Enderta
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

31.3%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

31%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Negele Arsi Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Negele Arsi Ketema's form might have worsened.

Mekelle 70 Enderta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Negele Arsi Ketema, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mekelle 70 Enderta than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Negele Arsi Ketema - Mekelle 70 Enderta Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Negele Arsi Ketema will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Sololo R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
82', Gatikuti 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 and 17).

Negele Arsi Ketema is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Mekelle 70 Enderta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Negele Arsi Ketema might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Negele Arsi Ketema	38	15	15	8	37:30	7	60
19	Mekelle 70 Enderta	38	8	16	14	26:38	-12	40

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Negele Arsi Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
01.02.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Sidama Coffee	1:0 ✺
21.01.26	Hawassa City - Negele Arsi Ketema	2:0 ✺
16.01.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Welayta Dicha	1:1 ✺
08.01.26	Shire Endaselassie - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWLTW
- Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
Ethiopian Premier League
01.02.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Ethiopia Bunna	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Adama City - Mekelle 70 Enderta	0:0 ✺
20.01.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Ethio Electric	2:1 ✺
15.01.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Mekelle 70 Enderta	0:0 ✺
09.01.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Sheger Ketema	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTWTT

Negele Arsi Ketema - Mekelle 70 Enderta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide