Match Info

Premier League - Round 18

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Ethiopia Nigd Bank		Negele Arsi Ketema

	1	X	2
	3.05	2.68	2.42
	3.33	2.8	2.33
	3.29	2.74	2.39	Watch
	3.2	2.6	2.3
	3.26	2.77	2.31
	3.33	2.83	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.88)	2.74 ↓ (2.78)	2.34 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopia Nigd Bank
28%

Draw
33.2%

Negele Arsi Ketema
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

33.1%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

32.8%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopia Nigd Bank has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Negele Arsi Ketema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopia Nigd Bank than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Negele Arsi Ketema Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 🟥,
64', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 4).

Ethiopia Nigd Bank has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Negele Arsi Ketema is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Negele Arsi Ketema could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Negele Arsi Ketema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopian Premier League
27.01.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Adama City	2:3 ✺
16.01.26	Ethio Electric - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Hadiya Hossana	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Sheger Ketema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLTT
- Negele Arsi Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
27.01.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Sidama Coffee	1:0 ✺
21.01.26	Hawassa City - Negele Arsi Ketema	2:0 ✺
16.01.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Welayta Dicha	1:1 ✺
08.01.26	Shire Endaselassie - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Mechal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLTWW

Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Negele Arsi Ketema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide