Match Info

Premier League - Round 17

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Adama City		Mekelle 70 Enderta

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.62	2.92
	2.63	2.61	3.09
	2.64	2.61	3.08	Watch
	2.5	2.45	3
	2.57	2.61	3.04	Watch
	2.66	2.62	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.7)	2.59 ↓ (2.69)	3.02 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adama City
34.9%

Draw
35.1%

Mekelle 70 Enderta
30%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.1%

34.2%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

36.4%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adama City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Mekelle 70 Enderta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mekelle 70 Enderta than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Adama City - Mekelle 70 Enderta Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mekelle 70 Enderta (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Adama City (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Mekelle 70 Enderta (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Adama City (votes: 1 - 25%). Mekelle 70 Enderta (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 17).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adama City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Adama City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Adama City	4	1	2	1	2:2	0	5

Last Results with these Odds

Mekelle 70 Enderta - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.72%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adama City FC
Ethiopian Premier League
21.01.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Adama City	2:3 ✺
17.01.26	Adama City - Sidama Coffee	2:2 ✺
08.01.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Adama City	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Adama City - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
30.12.25	Shire Endaselassie - Adama City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTTTW
- Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
Ethiopian Premier League
20.01.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Ethio Electric	2:1 ✺
15.01.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Mekelle 70 Enderta	0:0 ✺
09.01.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Sheger Ketema	0:0 ✺
05.01.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Mekelle 70 Enderta	0:1 ✺
29.12.25	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Saint George	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
05.05.25	Adama City - Mekelle 70 Enderta	0:0
24.01.25	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Adama City	2:0
08.01.20	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Adama City	2:0
21.04.19	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Adama City	2:1
16.12.18	Adama City - Mekelle 70 Enderta	3:1

Adama City - Mekelle 70 Enderta