Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 24

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Neman (Grodno) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lashuk A. (Blr)


	Neman Grodno		Baranovichi

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.90	5.50
	1.49	4.25	6.36
	1.47	4.05	6.00
	1.49	4.14	6.46
	1.48	4.00	5.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.53)	4.07 ↑ (3.95)	6.02 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neman Grodno
62.1%

Draw
22.6%

Baranovichi
15.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.6%

23.1%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

22%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neman Grodno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Baranovichi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neman Grodno than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baranovichi than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Neman Grodno - Baranovichi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Matysyuk N. (G) 55. Girs D. 14. Jimoh S. 20. Sadovnichiy I. (C) 8. Pantya Y. 10. Lisakovich R. 47. Kozlov M. 15. Evdokimov O. 9. Pushnyakov S. 33. Spataru D. 88. Savitskiy P.	12. Shapko D. (G) 97. Tkachev T. 4. Karpenya V. 19. Bruy A. 33. Muzychenko K. 88. Gitselev Z. 9. Lapun E. (C) 10. Lebedev F. 96. Potorocha V. 22. Bondarenko M. 77. Artyukh M.
Substitutes
52. Aleksandrov M. 19. Dayneko A. 18. Kravtsov M. 1. Malievskiy A. (G) 6. Nazarenko A. 32. Pavlyukovets Y. 7. Ratkovic A. 17. Suchkov A. 4. Vasiljev A. 24. Yakimov A.	8. Balbukh V. 93. Dresmanis A. (G) 5. Fedotov V. 2. Kendysh S. 29. Penchuk S. 34. Petrenko A. 17. Shevchenko M. 45. Torekul E. 6. Tuzakbaev A. 23. Vasilenko V.
Coaches
Kovalevich I.	Kirenkin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Pushnyakov S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bondarenko M. ↓, Torekul E. ↑,
60', Karpenya V. 🟨,
62', Gitselev Z. ↓, Balbukh V. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Pushnyakov S. ⚽, Girs D. (A),
65', Spataru D. ↓, Yakimov A. ↑,
75', Pushnyakov S. ↓, Suchkov A. ↑,
75', Lisakovich R. ↓, Nazarenko A. ↑,
75', Savitskiy P. ↓, Ratkovic A. ↑,
77', Potorocha V. ↓, Tuzakbaev A. ↑,
77', Artyukh M. ↓, Shevchenko M. ↑,
85', 3 - 0, Evdokimov O. ⚽, Nazarenko A. (A),
86', Evdokimov O. ↓, Vasiljev A. ↑,
88', Jimoh S. 🟨,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 6th and 11th).

Neman is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Baranovichi have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Neman for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Neman in today's match, at odds of 1.51.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Neman has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 2:0.5 goals per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Neman	26	13	4	9	32:25	7	43
11	Baranovici	26	7	7	12	27:43	-16	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Neman Grodno
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
19.09.26	Isloch Minsk - Neman Grodno	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Neman Grodno - Torpedo-BelAZ	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Belshina - Neman Grodno	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Neman Grodno - Slavia Mozyr	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Naftan - Neman Grodno	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWTWW
- FC Baranovichi
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
20.09.26	Baranovichi - Gomel	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Baranovichi	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Baranovichi - Dnyapro Mogilev	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Dinamo Minsk - Baranovichi	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Baranovichi - Dinamo Brest	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 40.5 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
24.05.26	Baranovichi - Neman Grodno	1:2
Belarusian Cup
28.06.23	Baranovichi - Neman Grodno	0:2

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