The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 35%
Draw 27.8%
Baranovichi 37.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.8%
29%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.9%
27.8%
28.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk's form might have worsened.
Baranovichi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baranovichi's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baranovichi than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baranovichi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Baranovichi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Soroko A. (G) 71. Matveev M. 2. Bozhko E. 31. Zaleskiy A. 41. Lutik D. 11. Tsallagov D. 79. Badoev K. 77. Sotnikov N. 67. Ermolin R. 90. Antilevskiy D. 33. Gorbachik V.
26. Shpakovskiy D. (G) 11. Ryabykh N. 8. Balbukh V. 19. Bruy A. 97. Tkachev T. 33. Muzychenko K. 9. Lapun E. 77. Artyukh M. 10. Lebedev F. 22. Bondarenko M. 45. Torekul E.
Substitutes
4. Akunets E. 8. Kaplenko N. 13. Oreshkevich I. 1. Sanko I. (G) 10. Sazonchik S. 26. Tkachenko V. 16. Vaschenko A. (G) 9. Vasin I. 19. Veretennikov A. 18. Volskiy D.
93. Dresmanis A. (G) 5. Fedotov V. 4. Karpenya V. 2. Kendysh S. 34. Petrenko A. 96. Potorocha V. 7. Pukhov T. 17. Shevchenko M. 6. Tuzakbaev A. 23. Vasilenko V.
Coaches
Voronkov I.
Kirenkin R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Bozhko E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lapun E. ↓, Tuzakbaev A. ↑,
66', Bondarenko M. ↓, Potorocha V. ↑,
66', Torekul E. ↓, Shevchenko M. ↑,
68', Gorbachik V. ↓, Vasin I. ↑,
68', Ermolin R. ↓, Sazonchik S. ↑,
78', Tkachev T. ↓, Vasilenko V. ↑,
83', Balbukh V. 🟨,
88', Vasilenko V. 🟨,
90', Bruy A. 🟨,
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 3.
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Baranovichi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 2.5:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:0. (average 3.3:0).
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Soroko A. (G) 
Matveev M. 
Torekul E. 
Shevchenko M. 
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