The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
ML Vitebsk 74.2%
Draw 17.4%
Dnyapro Mogilev 8.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.5%
25.8%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.6%
25.3%
21.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ML Vitebsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ML Vitebsk's performance.
Dnyapro Mogilev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dnyapro Mogilev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ML Vitebsk than the current prediction. (-20.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ML Vitebsk that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dnyapro Mogilev than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dnyapro Mogilev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
ML Vitebsk - Dnyapro Mogilev Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pavlyuchenko P. (G) 22. Skibskiy Y. 20. Volkov Z. (C) 6. Gomanov K. 45. Moskalenchik I. 27. Mesarovic A. 4. Abdullahi O. 14. Lisakovich R. 80. Kontsevoy A. 79. Diabate B. 21. Glushkov N.
1. Ignatiev V. (G) 17. Potapenko A. 12. Bylinkin N. 15. Kasarab M. 14. Burkhin E. 88. Kirilenko K. 89. Harutyunyan V. 8. Rusak S. (C) 29. Denisyuk A. 27. Piletskiy R. 21. Karpitskiy E.
Substitutes
23. Balanovich S. 3. Baranok N. 99. Bulanov M. 25. Bykov N. 17. Galyata D. 55. Gromyko V. 7. Ivanov T. 11. Nicholson S. 30. Shcherbachenya P. (G) 18. Zhuk V.
23. Dunaev A. 77. Gushchenko D. (G) 55. Krasnov N. 38. Litskevich M. 11. Martynov T. 18. Shemruk A. 99. Stepanenko V. 7. Tkachev T. 26. Yurkevich F. 10. Zabelin K.
Coaches
Adiev M.
Suvorov S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Volkov Z. ⚽, Lisakovich R. (A),
31', Volkov Z. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Denisyuk A. ⚽,
33', Denisyuk A. 🟨,
44', 2 - 1, Volkov Z. ⚽, Lisakovich R. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Bylinkin N. ↓, Dunaev A. ↑,
57', 3 - 1, Glushkov N. ⚽, Mesarovic A. (A),
62', 4 - 1, Mesarovic A. ⚽, Diabate B. (A),
63', Kirilenko K. ↓, Martynov T. ↑,
63', Piletskiy R. ↓, Zabelin K. ↑,
65', Rusak S. ↓, Krasnov N. ↑,
66', Gomanov K. ↓, Baranok N. ↑,
66', Mesarovic A. ↓, Gromyko V. ↑,
73', Diabate B. ↓, Nicholson S. ↑,
73', Skibskiy Y. ↓, Balanovich S. ↑,
75', Harutyunyan V. ↓, Litskevich M. ↑,
78', Kontsevoy A. ↓, Ivanov T. ↑,
90+3', 5 - 1, Ivanov T. ⚽, Gromyko V. (A),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 12).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
ML Vitebsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, ML Vitebsk is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, ML Vitebsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 2.3:3).
Including home matches between the teams, ML Vitebsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 3:3.5).