Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 9

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Vitebsk CSK (Vitebsk)

Referee: Dmitriev D. (Blr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Belarus 5


	ML Vitebsk		Gomel

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.05	5.1
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.55	3.98	5.82
	1.3	4.25	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.62)	3.97 ↑ (3.75)	6.11 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ML Vitebsk
62%

Draw
23%

Gomel
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

24.8%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

24.4%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ML Vitebsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Gomel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ML Vitebsk than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gomel than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

ML Vitebsk - Gomel Predictions

Users Predictions: ML Vitebsk will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pavlyuchenko P. (G) 23. Balanovich S. (C) 20. Volkov Z. 6. Gomanov K. 45. Moskalenchik I. 14. Lisakovich R. 4. Abdullahi O. 27. Mesarovic A. 21. Glushkov N. 79. Diabate B. 80. Kontsevoy A.	44. Kleshchuk S. (G) 43. Shaykhtdinov D. 16. Zayats I. 4. Gavrilovich A. 14. Pashevich P. 33. Sotnikov V. 19. Silinskiy D. (C) 23. Danilin K. 13. Lisakovich D. 21. Kovalevich D. 11. Simanenka T.
Substitutes
3. Baranok N. 99. Bulanov M. 25. Bykov N. 17. Galyata D. 7. Ivanov T. 11. Nicholson S. 30. Shcherbachenya P. (G) 22. Skibskiy Y. 18. Zhuk V.	7. Achapovskiy A. 8. Barsukov E. 22. Emeljanov D. 49. Karatai A. (G) 90. Kukushkin G. 10. Laptev D. 9. Leonovich K. 17. Martinkevich V. 3. Matveychik S. 88. Ryzhchenko A. (G)
Coaches
Adiev M.	Gorovtsov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Balanovich S. ↓, Skibskiy Y. ↑,
34', Abdullahi O. 🟨,
35', Silinskiy D. 🟨,
37', Mesarovic A. 🟨,
43', Shaykhtdinov D. 🟨,
43', Kontsevoy A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Diabate B. 🟨,
60', Gavrilovich A. 🟨,
71', Shaykhtdinov D. ↓, Martinkevich V. ↑,
74', Zayats I. 🟨,
75', Danilin K. ↓, Leonovich K. ↑,
78', Diabate B. ↓, Nicholson S. ↑,
83', Glushkov N. ↓, Galyata D. ↑,
84', Sotnikov V. 🟨,
85', Kovalevich D. ↓, Barsukov E. ↑,
86', Sotnikov V. ↓, Kukushkin G. ↑,
90+5', Volkov Z. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 4).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

ML Vitebsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gomel has had a series of home games.

In this match, ML Vitebsk is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, ML Vitebsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 3.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, ML Vitebsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Outrights of Belarusian Vysshaya Liga for now

ML Vitebsk: 42.94% FC Gomel: 2.04%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	ML Vitebsk	21	12	8	1	42:17	25	44
5	FC Gomel	23	11	6	6	33:18	15	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ML Vitebsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
17.05.26	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - ML Vitebsk	0:3 ✺
10.05.26	ML Vitebsk - Dnyapro Mogilev	5:1 ✺
03.05.26	Dinamo Minsk - ML Vitebsk	2:3 ✺
Belarusian Cup
29.04.26	Dinamo Minsk - ML Vitebsk	1:0 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
25.04.26	ML Vitebsk - Dinamo Brest	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLT
- FC Gomel
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
14.05.26	Gomel - Baranovichi	2:3 ✺
08.05.26	Gomel - Isloch Minsk	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Gomel - Torpedo-BelAZ	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Belshina - Gomel	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Gomel - Slavia Mozyr	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
23.11.25	ML Vitebsk - Gomel	5:0
28.06.25	Gomel - ML Vitebsk	0:2

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