Match Info

Asian Cup - Qualification - Third round - Round 6

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Dasharath Rangasala (Kathmandu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Laos	LaoTV, LNTV 1, LNTV 3
Nepal	KTV


	Nepal		Laos

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.63
	2.62	3.15	2.68	Watch
	2.92	3.1	2.07
	3.1	3.26	2.27	Watch
	2.45	3	2.7
	2.55	3.22	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.1)	3.14 ↓ (3.25)	2.54 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nepal
34.3%

Draw
29.3%

Laos
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.6%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nepal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nepal's form might have worsened.

Laos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Laos's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Nepal - Laos Predictions

Users Predictions: Nepal will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chemjong K. (C) 7. Chand R. Persik Kediri 15. Dangi M. Machhindra 18. Ghalan A. Bangladesh Police 16. Gurung D. 23. Khadka Y. 12. Lama M. Paro 20. Shakya A. 5. Shrestha S. Machhindra 8. Shrestha S. 9. Tamang A. Fortis	17. Bounkong B. (C) Svay Rieng 4. Keohanam S. Suphanburi FC 15. Koneyer K. Young Elephant 14. Nouphakdy K. 12. Oudone K. 2. Sangvilay P. Pathum United 6. Sengvanny S. Lao Army FC 13. Sitdavong X. 5. Somsanith P. Ezra 11. Wenpaserth C. Ezra 20. Xaysombath B. Luang Prabang United FC
Substitutes
13. Chhunju K. R. 21. Gillespye J. K. 10. Gurung Y. Friends Club 14. Karki R. 11. Lama D. 4. Limbu A. Rahmatgonj MFS 6. Pandey B. 22. Rai M. 19. Roman B. 17. Shrestha S. 3. Sunar B. (G) 2. Yogesh D.	21. Chanthaleuxay V. GB FC 19. Choummaly S. GB FC 22. Latsachack O. Lao Army FC 10. Leuanthala S. Salavan United 1. Lokphathip K. (G) Ezra 7. Phanthavong P. Ezra 3. Phimmasone K. Young Elephant 56. Seesavath P. Young Elephant 16. Singsavang X. Namtha United 9. Souvanny K. Young Elephant 18. Vilaphonh A. (G) Young Elephant 8. Xaypanya A. Young Elephant

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Sitdavong V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Keohanam S. ↓, Leuanthala S. ↑,
46', Gurung D. ↓, Lama P. ↑,
46', Koneyer K. ↓, Chanthaleuxay V. ↑,
46', Noophackde K. ↓, Phanthavong P. ↑,
46', Lama M. ↓, Karki R. ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Bounkong B. ⚽,
51', Ghalan A. ↓, Chhunju K. R. ↑,
60', Sangvilay P. ↓, Seesavath P. ↑,
61', Khadka Y. ↓, Shrestha S. ↑,
65', Sengvanny S. ↓, Singsavang X. ↑,
67', Shrestha S. ↓, Limbu A. ↑,
68', Karki R. 🟨,

Preview

Nepal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nepal won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nepal
Asian Cup
18.11.25	Nepal - Malaysia	0:1 ✺
Friendly
13.11.25	Bangladesh - Nepal	2:2 ✺
Asian Cup
14.10.25	Nepal - Vietnam	0:1 ✺
09.10.25	Vietnam - Nepal	3:1 ✺
Friendly
09.09.25	Nepal - Bangladesh	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLL?
- Laos
Asian Cup
19.11.25	Laos - Vietnam	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Malaysia - Laos	5:1 ✺
09.10.25	Laos - Malaysia	0:3 ✺
10.06.25	Laos - Nepal	2:1 ✺
25.03.25	Vietnam - Laos	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Asian Cup
10.06.25	Laos - Nepal	2:1
FIFA World Cup
17.10.23	Laos - Nepal	0:1
12.10.23	Nepal - Laos	1:1
Friendly
22.03.23	Nepal - Laos	2:0
AFC Solidarity Cup
12.11.16	Nepal - Laos	3:2 penalties

Nepal - Laos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide