Match Info

Asian Cup - Qualification - Third round - Round 5

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka, Sukan RTM, TV Okey
Nepal	KTV
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Nepal		Malaysia

	1	X	2
	29	9.5	1.08	Watch
	34	8.3	1.07	Watch
	31.51	8.52	1.08
	27.32	7.92	1.09	Watch
	27	9.44	1.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	29.77 ↑ (14)	8.74 ↑ (7.1)	1.08 ↓ (1.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nepal
3.1%

Draw
10.7%

Malaysia
86.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

6.4%

12.6%

81.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nepal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Malaysia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Malaysia's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Nepal - Malaysia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Malaysia will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 - Nepal (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.25 - Malaysia (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Nepal (13.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Malaysia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Nepal (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Malaysia (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Chemjong K. (C) Bangladesh Police 14. Bista A. Brothers U. 23. Chand R. Persik Kediri 21. Dangi M. Machhindra 7. Gillespye J. K. 5. Gurung D. 20. Lama M. Paro 10. Limbu L. Kirivong Sok Sen Chey 2. Shrestha S. Brothers U. 12. Shrestha S. 4. Tamang A. Fortis	16. Hazmi S. (G) Johor DT 12. Aiman A. Johor DT 21. Cools D. Cerezo Osaka 22. Corbin-Ong L. Johor DT 2. Davies M. (C) Johor DT 20. Faiz N. Johor DT 18. Haiqal H. Selangor 15. Laine N. Selangor 11. Rasid S. Kuala Lumpur City 14. Shamsul U. Terengganu 8. Wilkin S. Sabah
Substitutes
11. Bam S. 8. Bista A. Brothers U. 17. Deuba K. 19. Ghalan A. Bangladesh Police 6. Gurung Y. Brothers U. 18. Henjan D. Nepal Army 22. Karki D. (G) Manang Marshyangdi 9. Karki R. 13. Limbu A. Rahmatgonj MFS 15. Shakya A. 3. Shrestha S. 1. Sunar B. (G)	9. Aguero S. Kanchanaburi 3. Cheng Q. Selangor 5. Eldstal Junior Johor DT 10. Endrick Ho Chi Minh 7. Halim F. Selangor 19. Lambert D. Kuala Lumpur City 23. Nadzli Haziq (G) Kuching City FC 1. Nazrel S. (G) Selangor 17. Paulo Josue Kuala Lumpur City 13. Saifullah R. Kuching City FC 6. Tan D. Sabah 4. Ting D. Sabah

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Aiman A. ↓, Halim F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Halim F. ⚽,
64', Bista A. 🟨,
67', Gurung D. ↓, Karki R. ↑,
67', Gillespye J. K. ↓, Henjan D. ↑,
67', Bista A. ↓, Shrestha S. ↑,
73', Davies M. ↓, Cheng Q. ↑,
74', Rasid S. ↓, Paulo Josue ↑,
84', Corbin-Ong L. 🟨,
88', Corbin-Ong L. ↓, Ting D. ↑,
88', Halim F. ↓, Saifullah R. ↑,
90', Limbu L. 🟨,
90', Limbu L. 🟨,
90+1', Tamang A. 🟨,
90+3', Lama M. ↓, Bam S. ↑,

Preview

Malaysia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Malaysia is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nepal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.3:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nepal
Friendly
13.11.25	Bangladesh - Nepal	2:2 ✺
Asian Cup
14.10.25	Nepal - Vietnam	0:1 ✺
09.10.25	Vietnam - Nepal	3:1 ✺
Friendly
09.09.25	Nepal - Bangladesh	Canceled ✺
06.09.25	Nepal - Bangladesh	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLL?T
- Malaysia
Asian Cup
14.10.25	Malaysia - Laos	5:1 ✺
09.10.25	Laos - Malaysia	0:3 ✺
Friendly
08.09.25	Malaysia - Palestine	1:0 ✺
04.09.25	Malaysia - Singapore	2:1 ✺
Asian Cup
10.06.25	Malaysia - Vietnam	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Asian Cup
25.03.25	Malaysia - Nepal	2:0
Friendly
15.03.24	Malaysia - Nepal	5:1
02.06.19	Malaysia - Nepal	2:0

Nepal - Malaysia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide