Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Neptūnas		Hegelmann Litauen 2

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.7	6.5
	1.3	5	7.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.59)	4.85 ↑ (4.08)	7.13 ↑ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas
68.8%

Draw
18.6%

Hegelmann Litauen 2
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

22.2%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

21.5%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neptūnas's performance.

Hegelmann Litauen 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hegelmann Litauen 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neptūnas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hegelmann Litauen 2 than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hegelmann Litauen 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Neptūnas - Hegelmann Litauen 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 4th and 14th in the I Lyga (Relegation)).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Neptūnas carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Neptūnas has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 12:4 (averaging 2.4:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Neptūnas against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:0 goals (averaging 3.5:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Neptunas	25	14	2	9	33:30	3	44
14	Hegelmann Litauen 2	25	6	1	18	26:59	-33	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Neptūnas Klaipėda
Lithuanian Division 2
19.09.26	Minija Kretinga - Neptūnas	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Neptūnas - Jonava	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Neptūnas	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Neptūnas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	BFA Vilnius - Neptūnas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWL
- Hegelmann Litauen 2
Lithuanian Division 2
18.09.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Dainava Alytus	0:1 ✺
11.09.26	Transinvest 2 - Hegelmann Litauen 2	4:1 ✺
04.09.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - FA Šiauliai B	5:1 ✺
29.08.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Hegelmann Litauen 2	3:0 ✺
21.08.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Ekranas	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
22.05.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Neptūnas	2:3
31.10.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Neptūnas	0:1
22.06.25	Neptūnas - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:0
03.11.24	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Neptūnas	2:1
14.06.24	Neptūnas - Hegelmann Litauen 2	5:0

Neptūnas - Hegelmann Litauen 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide