Match Info

Date: 17 September 2021, Friday


	Neuchâtel Xamax		Lugano

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.5	1.8
	3.5	3.6	1.85
	3.95	3.4	1.8
	3.5	3.55	1.87
	3.56	3.58	1.88
	3.6	3.3	1.9
	4.08	3.5	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↓ (4.1)	3.49 ↓ (3.5)	1.85 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neuchâtel Xamax
24.3%

Draw
26.2%

Lugano
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

26.3%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

21.1%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neuchâtel Xamax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neuchâtel Xamax than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neuchâtel Xamax that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Neuchâtel Xamax - Lugano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Lugano is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Xamax won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Xamax won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neuchâtel Xamax
Swiss Challenge League
11.09.21	Winterthur - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:1 ✺
29.08.21	Neuchâtel Xamax - Wil 1900	3:0 ✺
21.08.21	Yverdon - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:1 ✺
10.08.21	Neuchâtel Xamax - Aarau	4:2 ✺
06.08.21	Neuchâtel Xamax - Kriens	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTWW
- FC Lugano
Swiss Super League
12.09.21	Lugano - Basel	1:1 ✺
28.08.21	Sion - Lugano	3:2 ✺
Swiss Cup
13.08.21	La Chaux-de-Fonds - Lugano	1:7 ✺
Swiss Super League
08.08.21	Lugano - St. Gallen	2:1 ✺
01.08.21	Servette - Lugano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
03.08.20	Neuchâtel Xamax - Lugano	0:1
01.02.20	Lugano - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:1
07.12.19	Neuchâtel Xamax - Lugano	1:1
29.09.19	Lugano - Neuchâtel Xamax	0:1
22.05.19	Neuchâtel Xamax - Lugano	1:1
03.04.19	Lugano - Neuchâtel Xamax	0:0
02.12.18	Lugano - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:2

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