Match Info

Super League - Round 10

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade de Genève (Geneva)

Referee: Cibelli L. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Switzerland	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4


	Servette		Lugano

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.65	Watch
	2.38	3.55	2.62
	2.5	3.7	2.71
	2.45	3.53	2.73	Watch
	2.41	3.5	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.45)	3.56 ↑ (3.53)	2.68 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Servette
38.6%

Draw
26.4%

Lugano
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

26.8%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

27%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Servette have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Servette than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Servette - Lugano Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Servette will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Lugano will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Servette: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lugano (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mall J. (G) 18. Mazikou B. 4. Rouiller S. (C) 25. Bronn D. 14. Njoh L. 8. Cognat T. 11. Fomba L. 10. Antunes A. 9. Stevanovic M. 97. Aye F. 90. Mraz S.	16. von Ballmoos D. (G) 46. Zanotti M. 6. Papadopoulos A. 17. Mai L. 7. Alioski E. 25. Bislimi U. 8. Grgic A. (C) 21. Cimignani Y. 27. Dos Santos D. 18. Mahou H. 91. Behrens K.
Substitutes
34. Allix T. 45. Atangana J. 6. Baron A. 28. Douline D. 32. Frick J. (G) 20. Magnin T. 7. Morandi G. 5. Ondoua G. 2. Srdanovic L.	29. Belhadj M. 2. Brault-Guillard Z. 19. Cassano C. 20. Doumbia O. 97. Duville-Parsemain A. 22. El Wafi A. 9. Koutsias G. 26. Marques M. 1. Saipi A. (G)
Coaches
Gourvennec J.	Croci-Torti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Aye F. ⚽, Njoh L. (A),
20', Alioski E. 🟨,
21', Alioski E. ↓, Marques M. ↑,
35', Rouiller S. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Grgic A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mraz S. ↓, Douline D. ↑,
59', Dos Santos D. ↓, Belhadj M. ↑,
59', Behrens K. ↓, Koutsias G. ↑,
69', Douline D. 🟨,
74', Antunes A. ↓, Morandi G. ↑,
74', Njoh L. ↓, Srdanovic L. ↑,
75', Bislimi U. 🟨,
82', 2 - 1, Aye F. ⚽, Srdanovic L. (A),
87', Aye F. ↓, Atangana J. ↑,
87', Grgic A. ↓, Cassano C. ↑,
87', Cimignani Y. ↓, Duville-Parsemain A. ↑,
90', Fomba L. ↓, Baron A. ↑,
90+3', Srdanovic L. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Servette won 4.

In recent matches, Servette has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lugano is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Servette won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Servette won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Servette FC
Swiss Super League
18.10.25	Thun - Servette	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Servette - Basel	0:3 ✺
27.09.25	Servette - Winterthur	4:0 ✺
Swiss Cup
20.09.25	Yverdon - Servette	1:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
17.09.25	Sion - Servette	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLW
- FC Lugano
Swiss Super League
18.10.25	Lugano - Zürich	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Winterthur - Lugano	2:4 ✺
27.09.25	Lugano - Grasshoppers	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Lugano - Lausanne-Sport	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	St. Gallen - Lugano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
15.05.25	Servette - Lugano	4:1
29.03.25	Lugano - Servette	0:2
01.12.24	Servette - Lugano	3:0
03.08.24	Lugano - Servette	3:1
Swiss Cup
02.06.24	Servette - Lugano	1:0 penalties
Swiss Super League
25.05.24	Lugano - Servette	0:2
18.02.24	Servette - Lugano	2:1

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