The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Winterthur 24.8%
Draw 21.5%
Basel 53.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16%
20.4%
63.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17%
19.2%
59.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Winterthur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Winterthur's performance.
Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Basel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Winterthur that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Basel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Winterthur - Basel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
75. Spagnoli A. (G) 16. Arnold R. (C) 68. Beyer B. 4. Camara S. 44. Cueni S. 8. Golliard T. 37. Maluvunu E. 20. Marchesano A. 19. Odin Y. 21. Ottiger S. 27. Rohner F.
13. Salvi M. (G) 24. Daniliuc F. 44. Harder J. 17. Malouda A. 5. Metinho 22. Michelin C. 11. Olaigbe K. 4. Omeragic B. 7. Otele P. 10. Shaqiri X. (C) 6. Tsunemoto K.
Substitutes
9. Buess R. 33. Citherlet T. 6. Essiam E. 70. Foro G. 45. Jankewitz A. 11. Kehrer E. 1. Kuster M. (G) 40. Okafor T. 22. Turkes A. 7. Zuffi L.
. Barbieri A. . Cisse M. . Kakor N. . Marchand Y. . Renato (G) . Ruegg K. . Thorell L. . Vouilloz N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, ⚽,
33', 3 - 0, ⚽,
38', 4 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
53', 4 - 1, ⚽,
58', 5 - 1, ⚽,
59', 5 - 2, ⚽,
61', 5 - 3, ⚽,
75', 6 - 3, ⚽,
83', 7 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 0.
Winterthur is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Basel is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Basel may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Basel holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Winterthur has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:57 (averaging 0.9:2.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Winterthur against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 9 losses, with 11:30 goals (averaging 1:2.7 per game).
Watch
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Spagnoli A. (G) 
Beyer B. 
Cueni S. 
Daniliuc F. 
Harder J. 
Metinho 
Olaigbe K. 
Otele P. 
Tsunemoto K. 
Essiam E. 
Kehrer E. 
Turkes A. 
Thorell L. 
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