Match Info

I Lyga - Round 30

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Kedainiai Stadium (Kedainiai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV
World	FIFA+


	Nevėžis		Kauno Žalgiris 2

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.9	3.8	Watch
	1.8	3.8	3.49
	2.01	3.57	3.18	Watch
	1.64	3.92	4.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.01)	3.8 ↑ (3.57)	3.67 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nevėžis
51.2%

Draw
24%

Kauno Žalgiris 2
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

25.6%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

22.5%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nevėžis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nevėžis's performance.

Kauno Žalgiris 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nevėžis than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nevėžis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris 2 than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kauno Žalgiris 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nevėžis - Kauno Žalgiris 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Granauskas R. (G) 13. Berednikovas L. 21. Lipnevicius R. 14. Mezinis G. 91. Petkevicius M. 99. Rukuiza K. (C) 32. Shaibu V. 17. Skibiniauskas V. 4. Soroka R. 47. Veldman M. 35. Zuperka R. A.	1. Skeiverys R. (G) 58. Brazys V. 54. Bruzas M. 50. Buslys G. 61. Jankauskas J. 57. Matekonis R. 46. Milius T. 41. Rybelis A. (C) 48. Stelmokas T. 67. Tunc M. 30. Vosylius N.
Substitutes
25. Gaizutis D. 9. Kouoh B. 28. Lozano J. 12. Manasyan R. (G) 3. Martinkus N. 8. Mikuckis R. 2. Mockus E. 11. Mohil Y. 18. Tymoshenko I. 1. Urbonas E. (G)	95. Bovhyra D. 35. Miksiunas J. (G) 44. Naulickas A. 47. Pocius V. 74. Uzkurnys A. 31. Vaicenonis K. 56. Valiulis B. 88. Zickevicius K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, ⚽,
17', 0 - 3, ⚽,
34', 1 - 3, ⚽,
45+1', 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
71', 🟥,
74', 3 - 3, ⚽,
85', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', 4 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nevėžis won 3.

In recent games, both teams have suffered a series of defeats.

Recently, Kauno Žalgiris 2 has had a series of home games.

Nevėžis will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nevėžis won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 2.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Nevėžis won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 3.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Nevėžis
Lithuanian Division 2
31.10.25	BFA Vilnius - Nevėžis	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Nevėžis - Ekranas	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Nevėžis	4:1 ✺
04.10.25	Jonava - Nevėžis	2:2 ✺
26.09.25	Nevėžis - Tauras Tauragė	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL
- Kauno Žalgiris 2
Lithuanian Division 2
31.10.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Tauras Tauragė	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Babrungas Plungė	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:4 ✺
26.09.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Transinvest	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
28.06.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Nevėžis	2:2
23.08.24	Nevėžis - Kauno Žalgiris 2	6:0
29.03.24	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Nevėžis	1:2
22.10.23	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Nevėžis	3:1
03.06.23	Nevėžis - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:1
21.08.20	Nevėžis - Kauno Žalgiris 2	3:1

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