Match Info

I Lyga - Round 18

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Siauliai Gytariu stadium (Šiauliai)


	FA Šiauliai B		Nevėžis

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.25	2.3
	2.65	3.35	2.25	Watch
	2.6	3.45	2.25
	2.53	3.59	2.42	Watch
	2.62	3.55	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (3.03)	3.44 ↓ (3.6)	2.29 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FA Šiauliai B
34.5%

Draw
26.2%

Nevėžis
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

25.1%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

24.3%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FA Šiauliai B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Nevėžis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nevėžis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FA Šiauliai B than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FA Šiauliai B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nevėžis than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nevėžis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

FA Šiauliai B - Nevėžis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paukste L. (G) 83. Garbaliauskas N. 51. Gestautas G. (C) 27. Jarasius D. 6. Jaseliunas G. 26. Jucys V. 46. Krikuzhas D. 8. Kubilinskas D. 7. Petravicius J. 36. Radavicius J. 30. Vaitiekaitis U.	1. Urbonas E. (G) 23. Havryliuk N. 22. Lukosevicius A. (C) 2. Mockus E. 11. Mohil Y. 30. Monkelis M. 99. Rukuiza K. 17. Skibiniauskas V. 18. Tymoshenko I. 47. Veldman M. 35. Zuperka R. A.
Substitutes
16. Apockinas O. (G) 29. Dovydaitis D. 45. Dudenas G. 35. Gasiunas M. 43. Gruodis G. 32. Micevicius G. 20. Mikoliunas K. 22. Pasevich G. 47. Toleikis A. 66. Valuckas A.	13. Berednikovas L. 28. Lozano J. 12. Manasyan R. (G) 3. Martinkus N. 14. Mezinis G. 8. Mikuckis R. 91. Petkevicius M. 32. Shaibu V. 4. Soroka R. 20. Traore M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Radavicius J. (Pen),
39', 🟨,
43', 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Garbaliauskas N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
86', 2 - 1, Traore M. ⚽,
88', 🟨,
90', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FA Šiauliai B won 2.

FA Šiauliai B has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Nevėžis has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

FA Šiauliai B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, FA Šiauliai B has had a series of home games.

Nevėžis will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Nevėžis will win today's game, with odds of 2.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, FA Šiauliai B won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, FA Šiauliai B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FA Šiauliai B
Lithuanian Division 2
26.07.25	Tauras Tauragė - FA Šiauliai B	4:0 ✺
22.07.25	FA Šiauliai B - Neptūnas	2:3 ✺
27.06.25	FA Šiauliai B - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
22.06.25	FA Šiauliai B - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	FA Šiauliai B - Transinvest	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FK Nevėžis
Lithuanian Division 2
25.07.25	Nevėžis - Panevėžys 2	0:1 ✺
21.07.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Nevėžis	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Nevėžis	2:2 ✺
21.06.25	Nevėžis - BFA Vilnius	1:0 ✺
18.06.25	Ekranas - Nevėžis	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
28.03.25	Nevėžis - FA Šiauliai B	2:4
30.08.24	FA Šiauliai B - Nevėžis	1:3
05.04.24	Nevėžis - FA Šiauliai B	1:0
12.08.23	FA Šiauliai B - Nevėžis	3:2
24.03.23	Nevėžis - FA Šiauliai B	1:0
30.10.22	FA Šiauliai B - Nevėžis	0:1
23.06.22	Nevėžis - FA Šiauliai B	2:0

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