Match Info

LITHUANIA: Lithuanian Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Kedainiai Stadium (Kedainiai)


	Nevėžis		Banga Gargždai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	9.5	4.8	1.26
	11	4.75	1.25	Watch
	9	4.8	1.29
	11.56	4.51	1.28
	11	4.8	1.2
	11.4	5.1	1.23
	11	4.75	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.64 ↑ (5.32)	4.79 ↑ (3.88)	1.25 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nevėžis
8.5%

Draw
19%

Banga Gargždai
72.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

23.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

23%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nevėžis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nevėžis's form might have worsened.

Banga Gargždai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Banga Gargždai's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nevėžis than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nevėžis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banga Gargždai than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Banga Gargždai, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bagdonavicius R. (G) 44. Aoyama T. 23. Gavrylyuk N. 14. Kasahara Y. 22. Lukosevicius A. (C) 11. Mohil Y. 9. Onah E. 91. Petkevicius M. 99. Rukuiza K. 10. Yoon Jong-Tae 35. Zuperka R. A.	55. Bertasius M. (G) 17. Andrejev M. 4. Antonio Lara 19. Antuzis V. (C) 49. Cesinha 15. Janusevskis J. 7. Norvilas D. 23. Piliukaitis V. 6. Ramanauskas M. 76. Sousa A. 18. Srebalius P.
Substitutes
5. Avizovas U. 13. Berednikovas L. 34. Granauskas R. (G) 7. Horikoshi T. 19. Mikuckis R. 25. Spontas A. 8. Ter-Tovmasyan A. 12. Yaghr F.	57. Ambrazaitis M. 12. Grinkevicius L. (G) 14. Kirjanov E. 24. Shults K. 11. Smulkys E. 20. Toleikis K. 37. Venckus I. 32. Vezevicius R. 13. Zebrauskas N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Sousa A. ⚽,
13', 0 - 2, Sousa A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Andrejev M. ↓, Zebrauskas N. ↑,
46', Cesinha ↓, Toleikis K. ↑,
46', Kasahara Y. ↓, Yaghr F. ↑,
61', Gavrylyuk N. ↓, Berednikovas L. ↑,
61', Onah E. ↓, Horikoshi T. ↑,
62', 0 - 3, Toleikis K. ⚽,
70', Rukuiza K. ↓, Spontas A. ↑,
72', Piliukaitis V. ↓, Ambrazaitis M. ↑,
73', Sousa A. ↓, Smulkys E. ↑,
75', 0 - 4, Srebalius P. (Pen),
78', 0 - 5, Srebalius P. ⚽,
85', Kirjanov E. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nevėžis won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Nevėžis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Banga is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Nevėžis won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Nevėžis won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Nevėžis
Lithuanian Division 2
10.08.24	Nevėžis - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:1 ✺
03.08.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - Nevėžis	0:4 ✺
30.07.24	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Nevėžis	3:1 ✺
26.07.24	Nevėžis - BFA Vilnius	2:2 ✺
21.06.24	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Nevėžis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWLTL
- Banga Gargždai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
10.08.24	Transinvest - Banga Gargždai	0:1 ✺
02.08.24	Banga Gargždai - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:0 ✺
26.07.24	Banga Gargždai - Kauno Žalgiris	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Dainava Alytus - Banga Gargždai	3:1 ✺
12.07.24	Banga Gargždai - Hegelmann Litauen	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
24.11.21	Banga Gargždai - Nevėžis	3:1
28.08.21	Nevėžis - Banga Gargždai	0:3
18.06.21	Nevėžis - Banga Gargždai	0:2
21.04.21	Banga Gargždai - Nevėžis	5:2
Lithuanian Division 2
04.10.19	Banga Gargždai - Nevėžis	2:2
15.06.19	Nevėžis - Banga Gargždai	0:0
24.08.18	Banga Gargždai - Nevėžis	0:1

Nevėžis - Banga Gargždai: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide