Match Info

I Lyga - Round 16

Date: 21 July 2025, Monday

Location: Raudondvario stadionas (Raudondvario)


	Hegelmann Litauen 2		Nevėžis

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.7	3.25
	2.05	3.75	2.82	Watch
	1.94	3.72	3.30	Watch
	1.95	3.94	3.01
	1.77	3.6	3.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.2)	3.74 ↑ (3.6)	3.13 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hegelmann Litauen 2
47.1%

Draw
24.1%

Nevėžis
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

24.9%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

26.9%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hegelmann Litauen 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hegelmann Litauen 2's performance.

Nevėžis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nevėžis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hegelmann Litauen 2 than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nevėžis than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Nevėžis Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Hegelmann 2 will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Nevėžis will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hegelmann 2: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Hegelmann 2 (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Nevėžis (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bagdonavicius R. (G) 27. Azouazi Y. 80. Gedziunas S. (C) 35. Giedraitis T. 30. Isaac B. 88. Janusa K. 25. Keliauskas K. 19. Pasilys D. 98. Pastukas J. 97. Radinovic S. 55. Stelmokas N.	34. Granauskas R. (G) 5. Avizovas U. 13. Berednikovas L. 22. Lukosevicius A. (C) 8. Mikuckis R. 2. Mockus E. 30. Monkelis M. 4. Soroka R. 20. Traore M. 18. Tymoshenko I. 35. Zuperka R. A.
Substitutes
7. Armalas A. 71. Jonavicius E. 66. Kukta P. 37. Morkunas R. (G) 59. Polujanski A. 87. Popiera T. 60. Sendzikas M. 24. Sinkevicius D. 42. Sinkevicius R. 16. Spycius A. 23. Zukovskis J.	23. Havryliuk N. 12. Manasyan R. (G) 3. Martinkus N. 14. Mezinis G. 11. Mohil Y. 91. Petkevicius M. 17. Skibiniauskas V. 47. Veldman M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, ⚽,
63', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
81', 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).

In recent matches, Hegelmann 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nevėžis is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Hegelmann 2 has had a series of home games.

Hegelmann 2 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hegelmann 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Hegelmann 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hegelmann Litauen 2
Lithuanian Division 2
27.06.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Tauras Tauragė	1:0 ✺
22.06.25	Neptūnas - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Babrungas Plungė	4:2 ✺
13.06.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:2 ✺
01.06.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Transinvest	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WLWLL
- FK Nevėžis
Lithuanian Division 2
28.06.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Nevėžis	2:2 ✺
21.06.25	Nevėžis - BFA Vilnius	1:0 ✺
18.06.25	Ekranas - Nevėžis	0:1 ✺
13.06.25	Nevėžis - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:1 ✺
30.05.25	Nevėžis - Jonava	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
07.03.25	Nevėžis - Hegelmann Litauen 2	1:1
08.11.24	Nevėžis - Hegelmann Litauen 2	4:0
21.06.24	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Nevėžis	1:0

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