Match Info

I Lyga - Round 14

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Kedainiai Stadium (Kedainiai)


	Nevėžis		BFA Vilnius

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.8	1.73
				Watch
	4.09	3.8	1.67
				Watch
	4.1	4.31	1.7	Watch
	2.75	3.75	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (2.75)	3.92 ↑ (3.75)	1.81 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nevėžis
25.5%

Draw
23.5%

BFA Vilnius
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

24.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

23.8%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nevėžis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nevėžis's form might have worsened.

BFA Vilnius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting BFA Vilnius's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nevėžis than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nevėžis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BFA Vilnius, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nevėžis - BFA Vilnius Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. BFA (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Nevėžis (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nevėžis (votes: 1 - 50%). BFA (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Granauskas R. (G) 5. Avizovas U. 13. Berednikovas L. 22. Lukosevicius A. (C) 8. Mikuckis R. 2. Mockus E. 91. Petkevicius M. 99. Rukuiza K. 20. Traore M. 18. Tymoshenko I. 35. Zuperka R. A.	76. Semaska U. (G) 23. Garbaliauskas N. 4. Kezunas A. 24. Misiunas D. 11. Novikovas A. 10. Osipovic A. 89. Paulikas I. (C) 5. Petrauskas D. 66. Pranckus P. 48. Sidlauskas A. 22. Urbanavicius K.
Substitutes
7. Ferraz V. 25. Gaizutis D. 3. Martinkus N. 14. Mezinis G. 11. Mohil Y. 37. Petkevicius J. 10. Toklikishvili N. 1. Urbonas E. (G)	90. Cesnauskis D. 77. Jurevicius Z. 7. Miranda N. 9. Perveinis M. 12. Ramanauskas E. (G) 53. Vilkuotis R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, ⚽,
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', 🟨,
52', 🟨,
71', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nevėžis won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, BFA has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nevėžis won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nevėžis won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Nevėžis
Lithuanian Division 2
18.06.25	Ekranas - Nevėžis	0:1 ✺
13.06.25	Nevėžis - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:1 ✺
30.05.25	Nevėžis - Jonava	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Tauras Tauragė - Nevėžis	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Nevėžis - Neptūnas	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWLL
- BFA Vilnius
Lithuanian Division 2
18.06.25	BFA Vilnius - Tauras Tauragė	2:2 ✺
13.06.25	Neptūnas - BFA Vilnius	2:0 ✺
31.05.25	BFA Vilnius - Babrungas Plungė	3:2 ✺
24.05.25	BFA Vilnius - BE1 NFA Kaunas	3:0 ✺
17.05.25	BFA Vilnius - Transinvest	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
26.07.24	Nevėžis - BFA Vilnius	2:2
13.04.24	BFA Vilnius - Nevėžis	2:1
22.09.23	Nevėžis - BFA Vilnius	2:2
30.04.23	BFA Vilnius - Nevėžis	0:2
24.09.22	BFA Vilnius - Nevėžis	1:1
01.04.22	Nevėžis - BFA Vilnius	0:2
19.06.20	Nevėžis - BFA Vilnius	4:1

Upcoming Matches