Match Info

LITHUANIA: I LYGA - ROUND 10

Date: 19 May 2023, Friday


	Marijampolė City		Nevėžis

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.45
	2.28	3.46	2.65
	2.24	3.2	3.04
	2.6	3.15	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.52)	3.23 ↑ (3.1)	2.66 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marijampolė City
37.6%

Draw
28.2%

Nevėžis
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

28.7%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

29.1%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marijampolė City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Nevėžis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marijampolė City than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nevėžis than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A Lyga (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A Lyga).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Marijampolė City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Marijampolė City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Marijampolė City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marijampolė City
Lithuanian Division 2
13.05.23	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Marijampolė City	1:2 ✺
30.04.23	Marijampolė City - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:0 ✺
23.04.23	Marijampolė City - Babrungas Plungė	0:3 ✺
15.04.23	BFA Vilnius - Marijampolė City	0:2 ✺
08.04.23	Marijampolė City - Ekranas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLWW
- FK Nevėžis
Lithuanian Division 2
12.05.23	Nevėžis - Babrungas Plungė	1:1 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
06.05.23	Transinvest - Nevėžis	5:1 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
30.04.23	BFA Vilnius - Nevėžis	0:2 ✺
21.04.23	Nevėžis - Ekranas	1:0 ✺
14.04.23	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Nevėžis	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
21.10.22	Marijampolė City - Nevėžis	1:0
17.06.22	Nevėžis - Marijampolė City	3:1

Marijampolė City - Nevėžis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide