The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chicago Fire 36.8%
Draw 23.8%
Philadelphia Union 39.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.1%
23.9%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.7%
24.3%
39.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
The ML Model estimate for Philadelphia Union aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 6th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 1.
Chicago has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Philadelphia is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Philadelphia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Chicago has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:44 (averaging 1.3:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chicago against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 15:18 goals (averaging 1.7:2 per game).
Outrights of MLS for now
Chicago Fire: 5.37% Philadelphia Union: 2.57%
Last Results with these Odds
Chicago Fire - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 36.08%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Philadelphia Union - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 40.05%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
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