Match Info

MLS

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Soldier Field (Chicago, IL) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	20:30	MLS Season Pass
International	00:30	Apple TV International


	Chicago Fire		Philadelphia Union

	1	X	2
	2.45	4.00	2.45	Watch
	2.50	3.80	2.40
	2.43	3.70	2.55
	2.55	3.98	2.59
	2.44	4.02	2.53	Watch
	2.45	3.90	2.55
	2.60	3.96	2.54	Watch
	2.47	3.85	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.62)	3.9 ↓ (3.96)	2.51 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chicago Fire
38%

Draw
24.2%

Philadelphia Union
37.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.1%

23.9%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

24.3%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Philadelphia (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brady C. (G) 24. Dean J. 3. Elliott J. (C) 4. Mbokazi M. 32. Allen N. 6. Saletros A. 22. Pineda M. 7. Haile-Selassie M. 18. Gomez J. 9. Lewandowski R. 19. Bamba J.	18. Blake A. (C) 39. Westfield F. 44. Pierre N. 26. Harriel N. 27. Wagner K. 6. Sullivan C. 8. Bueno J. 4. Lukic J. 33. Sullivan Q. 10. Iloski M. 9. Damiani B.
Substitutes
2. Barroso L. 44. Cohen J. (G) 12. Dithejane P. 25. Gal J. (G) 15. Gutman A. 21. Hanche-Olsen A. 35. Oregel S. 29. Poreba D. 11. Zinckernagel P.	23. Alladoh E. 11. Bedoya A. 16. Bender B. 51. Jakupovic M. 2. Martinez G. 14. Rafanello J. 76. Rick A. (G) 5. Sery Larsen J. 19. Vassilev I.
Coaches
Berhalter G.	Richter R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Mbokazi M. 🟨,
41', Elliott J. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Haile-Selassie M. ⚽, Allen N. (A),
45+1', Elliott J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Bamba J. ↓, Hanche-Olsen A. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Iloski M. ⚽, Damiani B. (A),
55', 1 - 2, Damiani B. ⚽, Sullivan C. (A),
57', Bueno J. ↓, Vassilev I. ↑,
67', 1 - 3, Damiani B. ⚽, Lukic J. (A),
68', Lewandowski R. ↓, Zinckernagel P. ↑,
68', Gomez J. ↓, Dithejane P. ↑,
68', Dean J. ↓, Barroso L. ↑,
72', Saletros A. ↓, Oregel S. ↑,
80', Damiani B. ↓, Alladoh E. ↑,
80', Sullivan C. ↓, Bender B. ↑,
85', Vassilev I. 🟨,
88', Zinckernagel P. 🟨,
90+2', Sullivan Q. ↓, Sery Larsen J. ↑,
90+2', Iloski M. ↓, Jakupovic M. ↑,
90+3', Pierre N. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 6th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 1.

In recent outings, Chicago has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Philadelphia is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Chicago may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Chicago: D'Avilla D. (Red Card) Franco A. (Knee Injury) Lod R. (Lower-Body Injury).

Confirmed absences for Philadelphia: Anello A. (Groin Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Chicago: Mekvabishvili A. (Lower-Body Injury) Rogers S. (Lower-Body Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Chicago has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:44 (averaging 1.3:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Chicago against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 15:18 goals (averaging 1.7:2 per game).

Outrights of MLS for now

Chicago Fire: 5.27% Philadelphia Union: 3.33%

Last Results with these Odds

Chicago Fire - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 36.08%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Philadelphia Union - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 40.05%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chicago Fire
MLS
10.10.26	Chicago Fire - New York City	2:1 ✺
06.10.26	Chicago Fire - Vancouver Whitecaps	3:1 ✺
26.09.26	Charlotte - Chicago Fire	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Nashville SC - Chicago Fire	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Chicago Fire - New England Revolution	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLL
- Philadelphia Union
MLS
10.10.26	Philadelphia Union - Real Salt Lake	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Philadelphia Union - Orlando City	4:2 ✺
19.09.26	Sporting Kansas City - Philadelphia Union	3:4 ✺
13.09.26	San Diego - Philadelphia Union	0:5 ✺
09.09.26	Philadelphia Union - Cincinnati	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
21.03.26	Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire	1:2
01.11.25	Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union	0:3
26.10.25	Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire	3:2 penalties
23.08.25	Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire	4:0
25.06.25	Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union	0:1
03.07.24	Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union	4:3
24.02.24	Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire	2:2

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