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Current Win Probability
Chicago Fire 48.5%
Draw 24.2%
New England Revolution 27.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.6%
23.2%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58%
22.2%
20.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chicago Fire's form might have worsened.
New England Revolution has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New England Revolution's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chicago Fire, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New England Revolution, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
30%
20%
Chicago Fire - New England Revolution Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 5 - 50%). New England will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 19% – 81%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1 - New England (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. New England (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Brady C. (G) 24. Dean J. 5. Rogers S. 3. Elliott J. (C) 32. Allen N. 35. Oregel S. 42. D'Avilla D. 18. Gomez J. 11. Zinckernagel P. 9. Lewandowski R. 12. Dithejane P.
30. Turner M. (G) 8. Polster M. 22. Kohler E. 2. Fofana M. 23. Sands W. 10. Gil C. (C) 21. Raines B. 14. Yueill J. 25. Miller P. 99. Turgeman D. 16. Gazdag D.
Substitutes
19. Bamba J. 2. Barroso L. 44. Cohen J. (G) 15. Gutman A. 7. Haile-Selassie M. 17. Lod R. 22. Pineda M. 29. Poreba D. 37. Turdean R.
15. Baker C. 77. Fagundez D. 12. Feingold I. 73. Gunn J. (G) 27. Harris W. 41. Langoni L. 65. Siqueira J. 66. Wynder J. 7. Yow G.
Coaches
Berhalter G.
Mitrovic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Turgeman D. ⚽, Yueill J. (A),
43', Allen N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rogers S. ↓, Gutman A. ↑,
47', 0 - 2, Miller P. ⚽, Turgeman D. (A),
52', Polster M. 🟨,
55', Dean J. ↓, Haile-Selassie M. ↑,
55', Gomez J. ↓, Lod R. ↑,
55', Dithejane P. ↓, Bamba J. ↑,
58', Miller P. 🟨,
62', 1 - 2, Haile-Selassie M. ⚽, Lod R. (A),
69', Gazdag D. ↓, Yow G. ↑,
69', Yueill J. ↓, Wynder J. ↑,
81', Turgeman D. ↓, Feingold I. ↑,
84', Oregel S. 🟨,
88', Miller P. ↓, Baker C. ↑,
88', Gil C. ↓, Harris W. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 2.
Recent performances by Chicago have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
New England is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
New England may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
Chicago could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Chicago: Bamba J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Franco A.
(Knee Injury)
Mbokazi M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in New England: Campana L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wynder J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in New England: Yusuf A.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 5 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:30. (average 1.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 2.1:1.5).
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Brady C. (G) 
Elliott J. (C) 
Allen N. 
D'Avilla D. 
Zinckernagel P. 
Lewandowski R. 
Dithejane P. 
Fofana M. 
Gil C. (C) 
Turgeman D. 
Gazdag D. 
Barroso L. 
Haile-Selassie M. 
Lod R. 
Fagundez D. 
Gunn J. (G) 
Langoni L. 
Mitrovic M. 
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