Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Chicago Fire		New York City

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.8	3.9	Watch
	1.80	3.80	3.90
	1.82	3.85	3.95
	1.83	3.97	3.98
	1.9	3.81	3.71	Watch
	1.78	3.85	3.9
	1.88	4.02	4.01	Watch
	1.83	3.8	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.81)	3.86 ↓ (4.03)	3.89 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Chicago Fire
51.5%

Draw
24.3%

New York City
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

23.4%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

23%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chicago Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Chicago Fire - New York City Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 4th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 9th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/16 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 0.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Chicago may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Chicago carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Chicago has recorded 3 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:32 (averaging 1:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Chicago against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with 14:15 goals (averaging 1.3:1.4 per game).

Outrights of MLS for now

Chicago Fire: 5.37% New York City: 1.05%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chicago Fire
MLS
06.10.26	Chicago Fire - Vancouver Whitecaps	3:1 ✺
26.09.26	Charlotte - Chicago Fire	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Nashville SC - Chicago Fire	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Chicago Fire - New England Revolution	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Chicago Fire - Inter Miami	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLLT
- New York City FC
MLS
26.09.26	Atlanta United - New York City	2:2 ✺
18.09.26	New York City - New York Red Bulls	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Real Salt Lake - New York City	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	New York City - New England Revolution	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	New York City - Nashville SC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
25.07.26	New York City - Chicago Fire	3:1
13.09.25	Chicago Fire - New York City	1:3
25.05.25	New York City - Chicago Fire	3:1
24.08.24	New York City - Chicago Fire	2:2
13.07.24	Chicago Fire - New York City	0:0
21.10.23	New York City - Chicago Fire	1:0
04.03.23	Chicago Fire - New York City	1:1

Upcoming Matches