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Current Win Probability
Chicago Fire 49.1%
Draw 24.4%
New York City 26.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.1%
23.4%
24.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.9%
23%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.9%
9.1%
0%
Chicago Fire - New York City Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Chicago Fire will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Brady C. (G) 24. Dean J. 3. Elliott J. (C) 4. Mbokazi M. 2. Barroso L. 11. Zinckernagel P. 6. Saletros A. 42. D'Avilla D. 19. Bamba J. 9. Lewandowski R. 7. Haile-Selassie M.
49. Freese M. (G) 24. Gray T. 13. Thiago Martins (C) 6. Sands J. 2. Cavallo N. 21. O'Neill A. 8. Perea A. 26. Ojeda A. 7. Mercau N. 17. Wolf H. 16. Martinez A.
Substitutes
32. Allen N. 44. Cohen J. (G) 12. Dithejane P. 18. Gomez J. 15. Gutman A. 21. Hanche-Olsen A. 35. Oregel S. 22. Pineda M. 29. Poreba D.
88. Jones M. 20. Luighi 3. Miazga M. 23. Murray M. 22. O'Toole K. 34. Raul Gustavo 30. Romero T. (G) 32. Shore J. 9. Traore B.
Coaches
Berhalter G.
Jansen P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Wolf H. ⚽, Ojeda A. (A),
21', D'Avilla D. 🟨,
44', D'Avilla D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bamba J. ↓, Pineda M. ↑,
46', Cavallo N. ↓, O'Toole K. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Saletros A. ⚽, Haile-Selassie M. (A),
60', Martinez A. ↓, Luighi ↑,
60', Perea A. ↓, Raul Gustavo ↑,
64', Mbokazi M. 🟨,
71', Zinckernagel P. ↓, Dithejane P. ↑,
71', Lewandowski R. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
72', Barroso L. ↓, Allen N. ↑,
76', Ojeda A. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
76', Sands J. ↓, Shore J. ↑,
82', Wolf H. ↓, Jones M. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Haile-Selassie M. ⚽,
90+5', Pineda M. 🟨,
90+5', Haile-Selassie M. ↓, Hanche-Olsen A. ↑,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 9th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/16 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Chicago may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Chicago for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Chicago has recorded 3 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:32 (averaging 1:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chicago against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with 14:15 goals (averaging 1.3:1.4 per game).