The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New England Revolution 43.1%
Draw 26.2%
New York City 30.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.9%
27.1%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.5%
27.6%
35.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New England Revolution has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New England Revolution's performance.
New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New York City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New England Revolution that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70%
10%
20%
New England Revolution - New York City Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. New England will win (votes: 7 - 70%). NY City will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for New England: 41.6% – 98.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. New England (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - New England (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. New England (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Turner M. (G) 8. Polster M. 22. Kohler E. 2. Fofana M. 23. Sands W. 10. Gil C. (C) 14. Yueill J. 80. Yusuf A. 11. Harrison J. 99. Turgeman D. 25. Miller P.
49. Freese M. (C) 24. Gray T. 23. Murray M. 6. Sands J. 2. Cavallo N. 32. Shore J. 7. Mercau N. 8. Perea A. 26. Ojeda A. 11. Talles Magno 9. Traore B.
Substitutes
15. Baker C. 4. Beason T. 77. Fagundez D. 88. Farrell A. 27. Harris W. 33. Parisian D. (G) 65. Siqueira J. 7. Yow G. 17. Zambrano M.
35. Ilenic M. 88. Jones M. 20. Luighi 22. O'Toole K. 55. Parks K. 15. Pierre K. 18. Ranjitsingh G. (G) 34. Raul Gustavo 30. Romero T. (G)
Coaches
Mitrovic M.
Jansen P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
27', Gil C. (Penalty Awarded),
36', 1 - 0, Turgeman D. ⚽, Miller P. (A),
40', Shore J. ↓, Parks K. ↑,
40', Gray T. ↓, Ilenic M. ↑,
45+1', 1 - 1, Sands J. ⚽, Talles Magno (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Talles Magno ↓, Luighi ↑,
61', Parks K. 🟨,
64', Yueill J. ↓, Siqueira J. ↑,
68', Perea A. ↓, Raul Gustavo ↑,
68', Traore B. ↓, O'Toole K. ↑,
69', Harrison J. 🟨,
70', Polster M. ↓, Baker C. ↑,
81', Harrison J. ↓, Fagundez D. ↑,
81', Turgeman D. ↓, Harris W. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New England won 1.
In recent matches, New England has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
NY City's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
New England may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, NY City has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New England won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, New England won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).
Last Results with these Odds
New York City - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.03%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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Turner M. (G) 
Fofana M. 
Gil C. (C) 
Yusuf A. 
Harrison J. 
Turgeman D. 
Gray T. 
Mercau N. 
Talles Magno 
Traore B. 
Fagundez D. 
Ilenic M. 
Jones M. 
O'Toole K. 
Ranjitsingh G. (G) 
Romero T. (G) 
Mitrovic M. 
Jansen P. 
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