Match Info

NPL Northern NSW - Round 21

Date: 13 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Alder Park (Newcastle)


	New Lambton		Newcastle Olympic

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.5	1.53	Watch
	4.75	4.8	1.49
				Watch
	4.84	5.03	1.47
	25.00	16.15	1.00	Watch
	6.5	4.75	1.36
	4.61	4.61	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.37 ↑ (6.31)	6.64 ↑ (5.65)	1.4 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Lambton
12.2%

Draw
15.3%

Newcastle Olympic
72.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

16.1%

69.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8%

15.4%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Lambton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Newcastle Olympic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Lambton than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Olympic than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

New Lambton - Newcastle Olympic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
19', 0 - 1, Fitzgerald J. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Hay B. ⚽,
26', 0 - 3, Hay B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', 1 - 3, ⚽,
72', 1 - 4, Cotton M. ⚽,
82', 1 - 5, ⚽,
90', 1 - 6, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Northern NSW State League and 6).

New Lambton has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Newcastle Olympic has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Newcastle Olympic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Newcastle Olympic is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Lambton won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 1.2:3).

Including home matches between the teams, New Lambton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 1:4.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Lambton FC
Australian NPL Northern NSW
09.08.25	Adamstown Rosebud - New Lambton	2:1 ✺
06.08.25	New Lambton - Adamstown Rosebud	0:3 ✺
25.07.25	New Lambton - Lambton Jaffas	1:3 ✺
19.07.25	Belmont Swansea United - New Lambton	0:0 ✺
13.07.25	Valentine Phoenix - New Lambton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLTL
- Newcastle Olympic
Australian NPL Northern NSW
10.08.25	Belmont Swansea United - Newcastle Olympic	2:3 ✺
06.08.25	Weston Bears - Newcastle Olympic	5:1 ✺
30.07.25	Cooks Hill United - Newcastle Olympic	1:4 ✺
20.07.25	Newcastle Olympic - Edgeworth Eagles	2:3 ✺
12.07.25	Adamstown Rosebud - Newcastle Olympic	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
11.06.25	Newcastle Olympic - New Lambton	2:2
06.08.24	New Lambton - Newcastle Olympic	1:7
28.04.24	Newcastle Olympic - New Lambton	2:1
22.07.23	Newcastle Olympic - New Lambton	2:1
28.04.23	New Lambton - Newcastle Olympic	1:2

New Lambton - Newcastle Olympic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide