Match Info

NPL Northern NSW - Round 11

Date: 6 August 2025, Wednesday


	New Lambton		Adamstown Rosebud

	1	X	2
	3.4	4.1	1.7	Watch
	4	4.1	1.66
	2.42	4.1	2.27	Watch
	3.81	4.3	1.69
	2.51	4.52	2.47	Watch
	3.8	3.8	1.75
	3.9	4.1	1.67	Watch
	2.42	4.1	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (3)	4.14 ↓ (4.63)	1.94 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Lambton
28.7%

Draw
22.7%

Adamstown Rosebud
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

19.6%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

18.8%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Lambton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Adamstown Rosebud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Lambton than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adamstown Rosebud than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	22.2%	66.7%

New Lambton - Adamstown Rosebud Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. New Lambton will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Adamstown Rosebud will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Adamstown Rosebud: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Adamstown Rosebud (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - New Lambton (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - New Lambton (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. New Lambton (votes: 3 - 60%). Adamstown Rosebud (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Esquilant S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
71', 0 - 2, Gismero N. ⚽,
85', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Northern NSW State League and 9).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Recently, New Lambton has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, New Lambton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, New Lambton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Lambton FC
Australian NPL Northern NSW
25.07.25	New Lambton - Lambton Jaffas	1:3 ✺
19.07.25	Belmont Swansea United - New Lambton	0:0 ✺
13.07.25	Valentine Phoenix - New Lambton	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Cooks Hill United - New Lambton	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	New Lambton - Maitland	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLLL
- Adamstown Rosebud
Australian NPL Northern NSW
03.08.25	Charlestown Azzurri - Adamstown Rosebud	0:4 ✺
27.07.25	Adamstown Rosebud - Belmont Swansea United	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Weston Bears - Adamstown Rosebud	5:3 ✺
12.07.25	Adamstown Rosebud - Newcastle Olympic	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	Adamstown Rosebud - Broadmeadow Magic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
03.07.24	New Lambton - Adamstown Rosebud	2:1
16.03.24	Adamstown Rosebud - New Lambton	2:2
17.06.23	New Lambton - Adamstown Rosebud	0:3
24.03.23	Adamstown Rosebud - New Lambton	1:2

New Lambton - Adamstown Rosebud: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide