Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Championship Soccer Stadium (Irvine, CA)

Referee: Snyder T. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Orange County SC		New Mexico United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.98
	2.3	3.33	3.19
	2.24	3.37	3.07	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3
	2.21	3.15	3.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.31)	3.25 ↑ (3.14)	3.05 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orange County SC
41.4%

Draw
28.4%

New Mexico United
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.4%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Orange County SC - New Mexico United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rando A. (G) 21. War M. 5. Brewitt T. (C) 15. Espy T. 4. Benalcazar N. 19. Partida K. 18. Palomino M. 27. Kelly S. 10. Hegardt C. 9. Zubak E. 11. MacKinnon L.	13. Shakes K. (G) 28. Wilkerson C. 15. Jabang O. 27. Howell M. 2. Hamalainen N. 3. Gloster C. 11. Nava C. 21. Noel V. 19. Bailey Z. 7. Reid-Stephen N. 29. Archimede L.
Substitutes
12. Bazini Y. 2. Doody G. 17. Johnson J. 31. Kadono T. (G) 29. Kurnik O. 22. Marinch A. 25. Solis E. 8. Sylla O. 6. Tubbs G.	56. Arozarena R. (G) 23. Astorga A. 5. Harris D. 10. Hurst G. 17. LaCava J. 9. Rennicks J. 16. Seymore W.
Coaches
Stone D.	Sanchez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Reid-Stephen N. (Penalty Awarded),
40', Hegardt C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Gloster C. 🟨,
60', Howell M. ↓, Seymore W. ↑,
62', MacKinnon L. 🟨,
64', Palomino M. ↓, Sylla O. ↑,
64', Zubak E. ↓, Bazini Y. ↑,
73', Nava C. ↓, LaCava J. ↑,
73', Archimede L. ↓, Rennicks J. ↑,
75', Jabang O. 🟨,
80', Reid-Stephen N. ↓, Hurst G. ↑,
80', Wilkerson C. ↓, Astorga A. ↑,
80', Partida K. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
80', Espy T. ↓, Doody G. ↑,
84', Hegardt C. ↓, Tubbs G. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 0.

Orange County SC is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

New Mexico has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Orange County SC is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orange County SC
US Open Cup
01.04.26	Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising	1:2 ET ✺
USL Championship
28.03.26	Oakland Roots - Orange County SC	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Orange County SC - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
18.03.26	Orange County SC - Laguna United	3:0 ✺
USL Championship
14.03.26	Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWWWT
- New Mexico United
US Open Cup
01.04.26	New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive	0:4 ✺
USL Championship
28.03.26	New Mexico United - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	3:2 ✺
21.03.26	San Antonio - New Mexico United	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
18.03.26	New Mexico United - Cruizers	3:2 ✺
USL Championship
14.03.26	Oakland Roots - New Mexico United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
08.11.25	New Mexico United - Orange County SC	2:1
11.10.25	New Mexico United - Orange County SC	3:3
17.05.25	Orange County SC - New Mexico United	0:3
19.10.24	Orange County SC - New Mexico United	0:0
03.07.24	New Mexico United - Orange County SC	2:0
29.07.23	Orange County SC - New Mexico United	1:0
29.04.23	New Mexico United - Orange County SC	3:1

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