The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Antonio 48.3%
Draw 25.8%
New Mexico United 26%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.9%
25.8%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.1%
25.3%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Antonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
San Antonio - New Mexico United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Batrouni J. (G) 13. Ward A. 21. Crognale A. 43. Tiago 3. Taintor M. (C) 4. Blanco N. 19. Parano C. 15. Maldonado M. 14. Berron L. 22. Cuello E. 9. Patino S.
13. Shakes K. (G) 2. Hamalainen N. 4. Keller K. 24. Blackett T. 3. Gloster C. 15. Jabang O. 19. Bailey Z. 7. Reid-Stephen N. 21. Noel V. 14. Dennis C. 10. Hurst G. (C)
Substitutes
17. Barbir D. 6. Calov C. 11. Greive A. 46. Guevara B. 7. Haakenson L. 31. Namani D. (G) 70. Pacheco D. 99. Sorto C. 45. Urrutia L.
27. Howell M. 17. LaCava J. 31. Melto Quiah J. 11. Nava C. 33. Pannenberg A. (G) 9. Rennicks J. 28. Wilkerson C.
Coaches
Llamosa C.
Sanchez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Maldonado M. ↓, Calov C. ↑,
29', 1 - 0, Calov C. ⚽, Blanco N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Gloster C. 🟨,
63', Tiago 🟨,
64', Gloster C. ↓, LaCava J. ↑,
64', Dennis C. ↓, Wilkerson C. ↑,
74', Patino S. ↓, Pacheco D. ↑,
75', Calov C. ↓, Haakenson L. ↑,
76', Noel V. ↓, Melto Quiah J. ↑,
80', Bailey Z. 🟥,
81', Haakenson L. 🟥,
86', Cuello E. 🟨,
86', Parano C. ↓, Sorto C. ↑,
87', Blackett T. ↓, Rennicks J. ↑,
87', Taintor M. 🟨,
90+4', Pacheco D. 🟨,
Preview
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs 1/8~finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 2.
Recent results have been tough for San Antonio (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by New Mexico have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
San Antonio is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, San Antonio has recorded 7 wins, 1 draw, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:29 (averaging 1.4:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for San Antonio against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 16:11 goals (averaging 1.6:1.1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
San Antonio - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 46.86%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.