Match Info

Date: 12 June 2021, Saturday


	New Mexico United		Austin Bold

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3	3.5	Watch
	1.9	3.5	3.3
	2.05	3.1	3.35
	2.12	3.29	3.71
	2.05	3.2	3.3
	2.03	3.34	3.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.96)	3.24 ↓ (3.48)	3.42 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Mexico United
45%

Draw
28.3%

Austin Bold
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Austin Bold has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New Mexico United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin Bold than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Austin Bold, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

New Mexico United - Austin Bold Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 and 9).

Austin has the most likely position - 6 (20.64%), has project points - 43, has currently - 7, has a chance of playoffs (47%), has a chance of qtrs (20%), has a small chance of semis (8%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

New Mexico is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Austin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Austin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

New Mexico will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches New Mexico won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams New Mexico won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Mexico United
USL Championship
04.06.21	Real Monarchs - New Mexico United	0:1 ✺
29.05.21	New Mexico United - Loudoun United	0:1 ✺
21.05.21	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - New Mexico United	1:3 ✺
15.05.21	New Mexico United - Austin Bold	3:1 ✺
08.05.21	El Paso Locomotive - New Mexico United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWWT
- Austin Bold
USL Championship
06.06.21	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Austin Bold	0:1 ✺
03.06.21	Austin Bold - El Paso Locomotive	0:1 ✺
26.05.21	Austin Bold - Real Monarchs	2:0 ✺
21.05.21	Real Monarchs - Austin Bold	1:1 ✺
15.05.21	New Mexico United - Austin Bold	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
15.05.21	New Mexico United - Austin Bold	3:1
07.03.20	Austin Bold - New Mexico United	1:0
03.08.19	New Mexico United - Austin Bold	2:2
25.05.19	Austin Bold - New Mexico United	1:3

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