The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Monarchs 20.8%
Draw 26.2%
New Mexico United 53%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.3%
25.3%
49.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.8%
19.8%
63.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Monarchs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New Mexico United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
13.3%
66.7%
Real Monarchs - New Mexico United Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Real Monarchs will win (votes: 3 - 20%). New Mexico will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for New Mexico: 42.8% – 90.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 7).
Real Monarchs has the most likely position - 7 (69.72%), has project points - 30, has currently - 7, has a small chance of playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of qtrs (2%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Real Monarchs could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match New Mexico is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Real Monarchs won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 3-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Real Monarchs won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2-8.
Watch
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