Match Info

Date: 17 August 2022, Wednesday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Harrison)

Referee: Freemon J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Portugal	Sport TV


	New York City		Charlotte Eagles

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	8.5	Watch
	1.39	5	6.75
	1.38	5.1	7
	1.37	4.9	6.8
	1.41	5.26	7.61
	1.38	4.75	7.5
	1.38	5.1	7.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.56)	4.98 ↑ (3.91)	7.39 ↑ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York City
68.3%

Draw
18.9%

Charlotte Eagles
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

23.7%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

23%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York City's performance.

Charlotte Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Eagles than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.5%	20.6%	5.9%

New York City - Charlotte Eagles Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 25 - 73.5%). Charlotte Eagles will win (votes: 2 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 20.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 58.7% – 88.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

NY City has the most likely position - 2 (40.04%), has project points - 61, has currently - 42, has a very good chance of playoffs (>99%), has a chance of first-round bye (32%), has a very small chance of supporters shield (2%), has a chance of win league (17%).

Recent matches NY City is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Charlotte Eagles is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Charlotte Eagles could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently NY City have a series of guest games.

In this match NY City is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in NY City: Parks K. (Injury)

There will not play in Charlotte Eagles: Armour A. (Injury) Mello Vinicius (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York City FC
MLS
13.08.22	Inter Miami - New York City	3:2 ✺
06.08.22	Columbus Crew - New York City	3:2 ✺
30.07.22	CF Montréal - New York City	0:0 ✺
23.07.22	New York City - Inter Miami	2:0 ✺
17.07.22	New York Red Bulls - New York City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLTWW
- Charlotte Eagles
MLS
13.08.22	Los Angeles - Charlotte Eagles	5:0 ✺
06.08.22	Charlotte Eagles - Chicago Fire	2:3 ✺
03.08.22	Charlotte Eagles - DC United	3:0 ✺
23.07.22	Toronto FC - Charlotte Eagles	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.22	Charlotte Eagles - Chelsea	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWLT

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