The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New York City II 37.3%
Draw 23.7%
CT United 39%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
24.8%
42.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.8%
23.8%
43.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
CT United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York City II that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CT United than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
New York City II - CT United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Learned M. (G) 82. Campos A. 53. Loiola J. 57. Suchecki J. (C) 77. Lopez J. 15. Pierre K. 29. Carrizo M. 71. Molinari P. 44. Sunjic L. 47. Arroyave J. 75. Kerr D.
23. Rankenburg G. (G) 21. Van Hees R. 5. Boamah M. 12. Kamrath L. 47. Wolanski A. 14. Lacy D. 31. Mora-Arias R. 8. Sserwadda S. 13. Monis A. (C) 70. Destin B. 24. DโIppolito D.
Substitutes
56. Bilden J. 79. Danquah C. 97. Duque D. 27. Flax C. 80. Kang W. 58. Martin E. 90. McDermott D. (G) 48. Mendonca G. 83. Ponce J.
17. Agostoni W. 9. Caua Paixao 16. Che N. 27. Goddard L. 11. Gomez E. 57. Hyte D. 77. Ping J. 1. Ramos A. (G) 15. Stephenson J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Campos A. ↓, Ponce J. ↑,
56', Arroyave J. ↓, Flax C. ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Sunjic L. ⚽,
69', Lacy D. ↓, Ping J. ↑,
69', DโIppolito D. ↓, Goddard L. ↑,
69', Wolanski A. ↓, Che N. ↑,
74', Pierre K. 🟨,
80', Monis A. ↓, Hyte D. ↑,
80', Mora-Arias R. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
89', Carrizo M. 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
CT United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, CT United has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, New York City II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
Including home match between the teams, New York City II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Last Results with these Odds
New York City II - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.07%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.