Match Info

USL League One

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Hinchliffe Stadium (Paterson, NJ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	New York Cosmos		Boise

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.70	3.70	1.73
	4.05	3.7	1.68
	4.72	4.04	1.64
	3.92	3.98	1.77	Watch
	3.9	3.85	1.74
	4.32	4.01	1.7	Watch
	4.3	3.8	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (3.25)	3.87 ↑ (3.5)	1.7 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Cosmos
22.2%

Draw
23.8%

Boise
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

25.5%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

24%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Cosmos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York Cosmos's form might have worsened.

Boise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boise's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Cosmos than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boise than the current prediction. (-4%)

New York Cosmos - Boise Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Stephani T. (G) 2. Morabito M. 25. Chavez J. 6. Holt A. 19. Jawneh L. 24. Noecker W. 20. Mendonca N. 7. Ljucovic F. 8. Spengler A. 13. Guenzatti S. (C) 91. Marsh C.	18. Kliewer J. (G) 15. Yaro J. 25. Dengler J. 16. Crull J. 2. Ricketts J. 11. Moshobane T. 66. Mayaka P. 8. Gasso D. 14. Moon N. 7. Bodily B. (C) 22. Amang T.
Substitutes
4. Chilaka M. 17. Galazzini D. 26. Garcia J. (G) 23. Materazzi D. 28. Milovanov J. 14. Puentes A. 11. Zielonka N.	6. Adams C. 1. Andema J. (G) 36. Barea J. 10. Kostyshyn D. 5. Ndiaye M. 3. Oyler K. 23. Yehya O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Marsh C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Noecker W. ↓, Chilaka M. ↑,
53', Chavez J. 🟨,
54', 0 - 1, Bodily B. (Penalty Awarded),
60', 0 - 2, Crull J. ⚽,
65', Bodily B. ↓, Kostyshyn D. ↑,
65', Amang T. ↓, Barea J. ↑,
69', Morabito M. ↓, Puentes A. ↑,
74', Gasso D. 🟨,
79', Moshobane T. ↓, Yehya O. ↑,
80', Gasso D. ↓, Adams C. ↑,
82', Mendonca N. ↓, Milovanov J. ↑,
82', Jawneh L. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,
84', Moon N. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 2, Guenzatti S. ⚽, Spengler A. (A),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

New York Cosmos has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Boise is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Boise may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Boise has had a series of home games.

In this match, Boise is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Boise ✔	29	14	7	8	45:39	6	49
15	New York Cosmos	28	7	4	17	36:56	-20	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Cosmos
USL League One
22.07.26	Westchester SC - New York Cosmos	3:0 ✺
18.07.26	New York Cosmos - Corpus Christi	0:0 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - New York Cosmos	2:1 penalties ✺
USL League One
08.07.26	New York Cosmos - Naples	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	New York Cosmos - Greenville Triumph	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLWL
- Athletic Boise
USL League One
17.07.26	Boise - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Boise - Sacramento Republic	2:0 ✺
USL League One
05.07.26	Westchester SC - Boise	0:1 ✺
02.07.26	Boise - One Knoxville	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Boise - Union Omaha	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWLW

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