Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Athletic Club Boise Soccer Stadium (Expo Idaho) (Boise, ID)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Boise		Sacramento Republic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.70	3.25	2.25
	2.75	3.45	2.16
	2.88	3.40	2.33
	1.69	3.56	4.83	Watch
	2.85	3.10	2.30
	2.69	3.88	2.28	Watch
	2.75	3.40	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.46)	3.43 ↓ (3.65)	2.63 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Boise
36.3%

Draw
27.6%

Sacramento Republic
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

24.6%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

25%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boise than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Boise - Sacramento Republic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Kliewer J. (G) 15. Yaro J. 25. Dengler J. (C) 16. Crull J. 2. Ricketts J. 11. Moshobane T. 66. Mayaka P. 8. Gasso D. 14. Moon N. 10. Kostyshyn D. 22. Amang T.	1. Vitiello D. (G) 2. Gurr J. 15. Essel A. 4. Desmond L. (C) 16. Wolff T. 27. Crisostomo D. 18. Kaye M. 20. Willey B. 8. Rodriguez M. 7. Malango M. 71. Edwards K.
Substitutes
1. Andema J. (G) 7. Bodily B. 17. Hanson J. 5. Ndiaye M. 3. Oyler K. 33. Sargis H. 23. Yehya O.	11. Ajago F. 24. Casas J. 31. Randolph J. (G) 10. Rodriguez A. 3. Spaulding R. 55. Ukaegbu C. 17. Wanner D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Moon N. ⚽, Amang T. (A),
27', Kaye M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Edwards K. ↓, Ajago F. ↑,
62', Amang T. ↓, Yehya O. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Moshobane T. ⚽, Yehya O. (A),
68', Moon N. ↓, Oyler K. ↑,
68', Ricketts J. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
72', Kaye M. ↓, Casas J. ↑,
72', Malango M. ↓, Spaulding R. ↑,
72', Rodriguez M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
78', Spaulding R. ↓, Wanner D. ↑,
90+3', Kostyshyn D. ↓, Bodily B. ↑,
90+4', Gasso D. ↓, Hanson J. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sacramento Republic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Sacramento Republic - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 38.9%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Boise
USL League One
05.07.26	Westchester SC - Boise	0:1 ✺
02.07.26	Boise - One Knoxville	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Boise - Union Omaha	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Forward Madison - Boise	5:1 ✺
10.06.26	Boise - Richmond Kickers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWLW
- Sacramento Republic FC
USL Championship
08.07.26	Sacramento Republic - Rhode Island	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Sacramento Republic - New Mexico United	0:1 ✺
13.06.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Sacramento Republic	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay	2:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
30.05.26	Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWWL

Upcoming Matches