Match Info

USL League One

Date: 8 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Hinchliffe Stadium (Paterson, NJ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	New York Cosmos		Naples

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	3.50	2.60
	2.23	3.50	2.65
	2.33	3.60	2.95
	2.34	4.02	2.54	Watch
	2.25	4.05	2.45
	2.29	3.18	2.85	Watch
	2.29	3.50	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.65)	3.62 ↑ (3.3)	2.67 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Cosmos
40.3%

Draw
25.3%

Naples
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

27.2%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

26.3%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Cosmos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York Cosmos's performance.

Naples has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Cosmos than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York Cosmos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naples than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naples could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

New York Cosmos - Naples Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Garcia J. (C) 24. Noecker W. 25. Chavez J. 6. Holt A. 16. Mason D. 8. Spengler A. 33. Sidoel D. 20. Mendonca N. 91. Marsh C. 13. Guenzatti S. 19. Jawneh L.	1. Delgado L. (C) 20. Yearwood J. 5. Mastrantonio L. 22. Yoder J. 3. Cisneros J. 14. O'Connor K. 11. Garcia C. 19. Arevalo W. 23. Mesias A. 10. Ferrin A. 9. Miglietti G.
Substitutes
5. Cabrera N. 17. Galazzini D. 23. Materazzi D. 28. Milovanov J. 2. Morabito M. 14. Puentes A. 30. Stephani T. (G) 11. Zielonka N.	30. Cerro I. 6. Ciss O. 99. Grant J. (G) 7. Gray T. 8. Osorio J. 31. Rose T. 21. Torrellas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Yearwood J. 🟨,
42', Noecker W. ↓, Morabito M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Marsh C. ⚽, Spengler A. (A),
62', Arevalo W. ↓, Torrellas M. ↑,
62', Garcia C. ↓, Gray T. ↑,
69', Guenzatti S. 🟨,
72', Yearwood J. ↓, Osorio J. ↑,
73', Yoder J. ↓, Rose T. ↑,
75', Marsh C. ↓, Cabrera N. ↑,
75', Mason D. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,
82', Osorio J. 🟨,
83', Ferrin A. ↓, Ciss O. ↑,
87', Spengler A. ↓, Milovanov J. ↑,
87', Jawneh L. ↓, Puentes A. ↑,
90+3', Chavez J. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 12).

Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	FC Naples	29	11	4	14	34:44	-10	37
15	New York Cosmos	28	7	4	17	36:56	-20	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Cosmos
USL League One
04.07.26	New York Cosmos - Greenville Triumph	0:3 ✺
20.06.26	Forward Madison - New York Cosmos	3:1 ✺
13.06.26	One Knoxville - New York Cosmos	3:1 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	New York Cosmos - Hartford Athletic	1:4 ✺
USL League One
30.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - New York Cosmos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Naples
USL League One
03.07.26	Naples - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:3 ✺
20.06.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Naples	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Charlotte Independence - Naples	4:3 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Naples - Sarasota Paradise	0:2 ✺
USL League One
03.06.26	Naples - Charlotte Independence	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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