Match Info

USL League One

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Hinchliffe Stadium (Paterson, NJ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Canada	fubo Sports Network
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, MSG, NESN, SportsEngine Play


	New York Cosmos		Greenville Triumph

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3.40	2.20
	2.82	3.35	2.18
	2.78	3.47	2.26
	2.83	3.58	2.29	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.2
	2.82	3.35	2.23	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (3.2)	3.41 ↑ (3.35)	2.22 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Cosmos
32.7%

Draw
26.6%

Greenville Triumph
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

26.9%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

25.5%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Cosmos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Greenville Triumph has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Cosmos than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

New York Cosmos - Greenville Triumph Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. New York Cosmos will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Greenville will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Garcia J. (C) 24. Noecker W. 25. Chavez J. 6. Holt A. 5. Cabrera N. 33. Sidoel D. 20. Mendonca N. 11. Zielonka N. 8. Spengler A. 19. Jawneh L. 13. Guenzatti S.	13. Knight A. (G) 22. Fritz K. 12. Lee E. 5. Fricke B. 15. Patti A. 20. Seagrist P. 7. Boyce D. 8. Herrera C. 18. Evans C. 17. Larsen B. 9. Robles R.
Substitutes
22. Bohui P. 17. Galazzini D. 16. Mason D. 23. Materazzi D. 28. Milovanov J. 14. Puentes A. 30. Stephani T. (G)	6. Agyaakwah I. 10. Akio W. 11. Bouregy J. 33. Meek L. 30. Torman S. (G) 23. White E. 14. Wu D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Larsen B. ↓, Akio W. ↑,
17', Herrera C. 🟨,
45+7', 0 - 1, Fricke B. ⚽, Boyce D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', Evans C. ↓, Meek L. ↑,
52', Seagrist P. ↓, Agyaakwah I. ↑,
55', Akio W. 🟨,
57', 0 - 2, Akio W. ⚽, Meek L. (A),
63', Zielonka N. ↓, Galazzini D. ↑,
63', Sidoel D. ↓, Milovanov J. ↑,
63', Mendonca N. ↓, Puentes A. ↑,
63', Cabrera N. ↓, Mason D. ↑,
64', 0 - 3, Akio W. ⚽,
70', Noecker W. ↓, Bohui P. ↑,
78', Milovanov J. 🟨,
79', Guenzatti S. 🟨,
85', Patti A. ↓, Wu D. ↑,
85', Robles R. ↓, Bouregy J. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 16).

New York Cosmos has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Greenville has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Greenville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, New York Cosmos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	New York Cosmos	28	7	4	17	36:56	-20	25
16	Greenville	28	6	5	17	30:52	-22	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Cosmos
USL League One
20.06.26	Forward Madison - New York Cosmos	3:1 ✺
13.06.26	One Knoxville - New York Cosmos	3:1 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	New York Cosmos - Hartford Athletic	1:4 ✺
USL League One
30.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - New York Cosmos	2:1 ✺
27.05.26	New York Cosmos - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Greenville Triumph
USL Cup
24.06.26	Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph	1:0 ✺
USL League One
20.06.26	Greenville Triumph - AV Alta	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Westchester SC - Greenville Triumph	4:0 ✺
USL Cup
10.06.26	Greenville Triumph - Loudoun United	3:1 ✺
USL League One
03.06.26	Greenville Triumph - Forward Madison	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
25.03.26	Greenville Triumph - New York Cosmos	3:2

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