Match Info

US Open Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Sports Illustrated Stadium (Harrison, NJ)

Referee: Scheer J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	New York Red Bulls		Pittsburgh Riverhounds

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.95	4.65
	1.67	4	4.65
	1.49	4.23	5.51	Watch
	1.65	3.5	4.4
	1.63	3.92	4.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.58)	3.85 ↓ (3.91)	4.81 ↓ (5.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Red Bulls
57%

Draw
23.9%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

23.5%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

22.8%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

New York Red Bulls - Pittsburgh Riverhounds Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. McCarthy J. (G) 3. Marshall-Rutty J. 4. Berggren G. 6. Voloder R. 56. Dos Santos M. 39. Benedetti N. 15. Mehmeti A. 10. Forsberg E. (C) 79. Mosquera R. 16. Hall J. 37. Sofo M.	1. Campuzano N. (G) 28. Osumanu I. 6. Mikoy O. 4. Kelp L. 13. Viera M. 2. Griffin D. (C) 15. Sample B. 14. Mertz R. 8. Etou B. 17. Larsen B. 7. Amann T.
Substitutes
7. Cowell C. 48. Donkor R. 34. Horvath E. (G) 33. Mitchell R. 26. Parker T. 11. Ruvalcaba J. 5. Valencia O.	3. Barnes P. 20. Budler M. (G) 9. Dikwa A. 18. Garcia J. 37. Goldthorp E. 5. Souza V. 42. Walti J.
Coaches
Bradley M.	Vincent R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Forsberg E. ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Hall J. ⚽, Benedetti N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 3 - 0, Hall J. ⚽, Forsberg E. (A),
56', Dos Santos M. ↓, Valencia O. ↑,
57', Forsberg E. ↓, Donkor R. ↑,
57', Hall J. ↓, Mitchell R. ↑,
61', Larsen B. ↓, Dikwa A. ↑,
61', Griffin D. ↓, Walti J. ↑,
61', Mertz R. ↓, Goldthorp E. ↑,
67', Kelp L. ↓, Souza V. ↑,
69', Mitchell R. ↓, Ruvalcaba J. ↑,
73', Voloder R. ↓, Parker T. ↑,
77', Sample B. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
77', Mikoy O. ↓, Barnes P. ↑,
79', 3 - 1, Amann T. ⚽, Goldthorp E. (A),
80', Mehmeti A. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
87', Donkor R. 🟨,

Preview

NY Red Bulls has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pittsburgh is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pittsburgh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, NY Red Bulls is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Red Bulls
MLS
11.04.26	Inter Miami - New York Red Bulls	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	New York Red Bulls - Cincinnati	4:2 ✺
21.03.26	Charlotte - New York Red Bulls	6:1 ✺
14.03.26	Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWLTL
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USL Championship
12.04.26	Birmingham Legion - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Indy Eleven - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
31.03.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Virginia Dream	2:0 ✺
USL Championship
28.03.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Sporting Jacksonville	3:2 ✺
US Open Cup
25.03.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Steel City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWWW

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