Match Info

MLS Next Pro - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: MSU Soccer Park (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Next Pro


	New York Red Bulls 2		Carolina Core

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	4.23	3.91
	1.72	4.30	3.87	Watch
	1.66	4.15	3.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.72)	4.23 ↓ (4.3)	3.9 ↑ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Red Bulls 2
54.4%

Draw
21.9%

Carolina Core
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

21.7%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

21.3%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Carolina Core has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Core than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

New York Red Bulls 2 - Carolina Core Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Stokes A. (G) 20. Mina J. 34. Gutierrez J. 50. Collahuazo J. 56. Dos Santos M. 80. Worth N. 77. Mehmeti A. 39. Benedetti N. 79. Mosquera R. 33. Mitchell R. 70. Rojas A.	0. Sutton A. (G) 2. Chica D. 20. Covi I. 4. Thomas K. 26. Leonardi P. 24. Canete F. 12. Alenga M. 14. Juarez J. 16. Lundeen C. 15. Pineda T. 22. Ibarra J.
Substitutes
55. Causey A. (G) 91. Jimenez M. 52. Modelo A. 92. Nelich D. 24. Ofori C. 83. Rodriguez B. 66. Rosborough T. 35. Schwarz B. 97. Scuro R.	21. Cuevas D. 10. Evans J. 99. Miller A. 17. Nzingo G. 1. Pannenberg A. (G) 13. Rodriguez J. 6. Rodriguez J. 3. Scarlett Z. 11. Sumo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', Chica D. 🟨,
3', 1 - 0, Mosquera R. (Pen),
30', Thomas K. 🟨,
34', 2 - 0, Benedetti N. ⚽,
43', Mosquera R. 🟨,
44', Pineda T. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Alenga M. ↓, Miller A. ↑,
46', Pineda T. ↓, Sumo A. ↑,
47', 3 - 0, Mitchell R. ⚽, Dos Santos M. (A),
48', 4 - 0, Benedetti N. ⚽, Worth N. (A),
51', Worth N. 🟨,
66', Mitchell R. ↓, Jimenez M. ↑,
70', Lundeen C. ↓, Nzingo G. ↑,
70', Ibarra J. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
70', Covi I. ↓, Cuevas D. ↑,
73', Leonardi P. 🟨,
74', Collahuazo J. ↓, Ofori C. ↑,
80', 5 - 0, Mosquera R. ⚽, Mehmeti A. (A),
83', 5 - 1, Nzingo G. ⚽, Sumo A. (A),
86', Mosquera R. ↓, Modelo A. ↑,
86', Mina J. ↓, Nelich D. ↑,
86', Rojas A. ↓, Rosborough T. ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, New York Red Bulls 2 is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, New York Red Bulls 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 2.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, New York Red Bulls 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Red Bulls 2
MLS Next Pro
05.10.25	New York Red Bulls 2 - Toronto FC II	2:1 ✺
01.10.25	Cincinnati 2 - New York Red Bulls 2	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	New York Red Bulls 2 - Inter Miami II	1:2 penalties ✺
13.09.25	Huntsville City - New York Red Bulls 2	2:3 ✺
31.08.25	New York Red Bulls 2 - Columbus Crew 2	7:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLLWW
- Carolina Core
MLS Next Pro
05.10.25	Huntsville City - Carolina Core	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Carolina Core - Orlando City B	3:4 penalties ✺
21.09.25	Chattanooga - Carolina Core	0:1 penalties ✺
13.09.25	Carolina Core - Atlanta United II	4:2 ✺
04.09.25	Crown Legacy - Carolina Core	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS Next Pro
21.06.25	Carolina Core - New York Red Bulls 2	1:2
04.05.25	New York Red Bulls 2 - Carolina Core	3:2 penalties
01.09.24	Carolina Core - New York Red Bulls 2	4:2

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